Abstract

FUENTES FLORES, César M.  and  SANCHEZ SALINAS, Omar A.. The Spatial Distribution of Robbery and the Socioeconomic Context in Three Sectors of Mexico City: Elements toward the Design of Public Safety Policy. Gest. polít. pública [online]. 2017, vol.26, n.2, pp.417-451. ISSN 1405-1079.

The robbery is one of the main crimes in Mexico City. The policies implemented by the police bodies are focalized in reactive actions and few had been made from a prevention perspective. The theoretical background is provided by the routine activities and crime patterns. To measure the relationship a multiple regression model was test. The data include criminal warrants of robbery (PGJDF, 2010) and other socioeconomic variables (INEGI, 2010), both at census tract level. The methodology used is a Geographic Weighted Regression (GWR). The results of the spatial regression model show that commerce and service land use, public transportation stations and the percentage of male population of 18 to 24 years old increase significantly the opportunities to commit a robbery. The results provide some guiding for the design of security public policies focused on the prevention of the criminal activity.

Keywords : robbery; Mexico City; crime prevention.

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