Abstract

ORDORICA, Manuel; SILVAN, José Luis  and  NUNEZ, Juan Manuel. Estimates of the population from the earth as from the sky: the case of Tenosique. Pap. poblac [online]. 2018, vol.24, n.98, pp.9-29. ISSN 2448-7147.  https://doi.org/10.22185/24487147.2018.98.34.

The objective of the article is to realize estimates of population of Tenosique, in the state of Tabasco, with the purpose of testing a methodology that could be applicable to make estimations of population of small areas. This technique combines censuses, counts and surveys with satellite images to make population estimates. Tenosique was chosen to study the effect of population growth on the zone of influence of the Usumacinta River, derived from the important floating population of Central American migrants. The proposed method uses continuous information in small, real-time intervals, but from space, as the satellite frequently passes through the same location. The method is to establish a relationship between the growth of the area and the increase of the population. The technique used is the Kalman filter.

Keywords : Population of small areas; Kalman filter; satellite images; mathematical demography; city of Tenosique.

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