Abstract

REBOLLAR REBOLLAR, Eulogio; REBOLLAR REBOLLAR, Alfredo; MONDRAGON ANCELMO, Jaime  and  GOMEZ TENORIO, Germán. Regional supply and demand for chicken meat in Mexico, 1996-2016. Rev. mex. de cienc. pecuarias [online]. 2019, vol.10, n.4, pp.917-932.  Epub Apr 30, 2020. ISSN 2448-6698.  https://doi.org/10.22319/rmcp.v10i4.4839.

Multiple variables can affect meat product supply and demand. An analysis was done of the magnitude of the effect of the main economic and technological variables that influence supply and demand of chicken meat in eight regions in Mexico during the period 1996 to 2016. A multiple linear regression econometric model was formulated for each region, including the main economic and technological variables determining supply and demand. In most of the regions, chicken meat supply reacted directly and elastically to changes in technology (average = 1.7395), directly and inelastically to the price of chicken meat (average = 0.9912), and inversely and inelastically to the prices of pork (average = -0.3686) and feed (-0.1423). In all regions demand behaved elastically in relation to population size (average = 2.0853), and inelastically in relation to the current price of chicken meat (average = -0.1698), per capita income (average = 0.2560) and the current price of beef (average = 0.0272). Population growth had the greatest effect on chicken meat consumption in all the regions. All the tested models had overall significance, although not all the predictive variables had a significant effect.

Keywords : Chicken meat; Elasticities; Production; Consumption; Econometric models.

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