Abstract

BASABE-SERRANO, Santiago  and  POLGA-HECIMOVICH, John. Desempeño económico y protesta ciudadana como detonantes de las caídas presidenciales: el caso ecuatoriano. Perf. latinoam. [online]. 2017, vol.25, n.50, pp.129-153. ISSN 0188-7653.  https://doi.org/10.18504/pl2550-007-2017.

In this article, we identify economic crises (X1) in the presence of social mobilization (X2 ) as jointly conditional causes of premature president exit (Y). After identifying common points and tension in the literature, we propose that the study of presidential removal can benefit by incorporating a multiple conjunctural causation framework. Using two case studies of presidential instability in Ecuador, the article suggests that theoretical-empirical discrepancies in the existing literature can be resolved be incorporating more analytically rigorous approaches such as the one we identify.

Keywords : Complex causality; presidential instability; Ecuador; economic crises; social mobilization.

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