Abstract

MENDOZA, Jorge Eduardo  and  TORRES-PRECIADO, Víctor Hugo. Foreign trade and employment in the northern border of Mexico. Estud. front [online]. 2022, vol.23, e091.  Epub June 20, 2022. ISSN 2395-9134.  https://doi.org/10.21670/ref.2207091.

The paper investigates the impact of the international trade on employment of the northern border states of Mexico and its integration with the economy of the United States during 2007-2020. In order to analyze the effect of commercial penetration on the evolution of employment in the region, a dynamic panel model is used to estimate the effect of exports and imports. The results indicate that at the level of total exports there is no clear correlation of the penetration of exports on employment in the region. In contrast, the penetration of manufacturing exports and imports showed a positive and statistically significant effect on manufacturing employment in the northern border region of Mexico. The coefficient of average manufacturing wages showed an inverse coefficient suggesting that the employment dynamics are limiting the growth of wage income.

Keywords : Northern border of Mexico; exports; imports; employment.

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