Abstract

VALDIVIA LOPEZ, Marcos  and  LINARES SANCHEZ, Nelly E.. A Computer Simulation Model Integrated into SIG to Explore the Dynamics of Growth of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City (1998-2008). Estud. demogr. urbanos [online]. 2013, vol.28, n.3, pp.593-644. ISSN 2448-6515.  https://doi.org/10.24201/edu.v28i3.1448.

This paper explores the dynamics of economic growth in the municipalities and delegations of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City (MAMC) through simulations of a dynamic model of Cellular Automata contagion integrated into Geographic Information Systems. Model results indicate that under conditions of intense local interaction by municipalities and delegations, the MCMA tends to achieve a lower average growth rate of GDP than has been observed in recent years. They also show that the equilibrium growth rate of the MCMA is not affected by the monocentric or polycentric nature of the metropolis, but rather by the proximity or distance of the municipalities and delegations in regard to the center or economic sub-centers of the region. Lastly, the research shows that it is possible to achieve higher GDP growth rates than those observed under certain conditions of coordination in the urban structure without necessarily being global interaction between municipalities and delegations.

Keywords : spatial interaction; computer models; local economic growth; Mexico City Metropolitan Area.

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