Abstract

ARMENTA R., Aída B.; FLAHERTY, Diane; GIBSON, Bill  and  SALAZAR-CARRILLO, Jorge. Regional effect of energy reform in Mexico: a model of regional computable general equilibrium. Estud. Econ. (México, D.F.) [online]. 2020, vol.35, n.1, pp.71-123.  Epub June 15, 2020. ISSN 0186-7202.

This paper presents a compact, dynamic computable general equilibrium model for the state of Tabasco, México, calibrated to a social accounting matrix for 2003. Two simulations are presented: la reforma studies the impact of the recent energy reform in México with more income from the petroleum production retained and invested in the educational sector. A second simulation, aguas profundas, invests in advanced petroleum technology. La reforma results in greater production, employment, equality and less poverty while aguas profundas generates more skilled employment and attracts more resources, national and international, to the region.

Keywords : compact computable general equilibrium; social accounting matrix, education; skilled labor; human capital; C68; E37; I22; O21; Q32; Q38.

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