Abstract

BONILLA, David; LIVAS GARCIA, Adrián  and  CABALLERO CASTRILLO, Adriana. The Rebound Effect of Natural Gas Consumption: The Case of Electricity Generation During the Energy Reform. Inv. Econ [online]. 2022, vol.81, n.321, pp.174-198.  Epub June 02, 2023. ISSN 0185-1667.  https://doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2022.321.81564.

Our aims are: 1) to calculate the impact of the Rebound Effect (RE) of the consumption of Natural Gas (NG) of three types of generation plants: Public Power Plant (PPP), Independent Energy Producer (IEP), and Self-generators (Aut), the foregoing in two technologies combined cycle (CC) and turbogas (TG) and 2) to explain the demand for ng in the Mexican economy in the period 2000-2020. The re of both IEPS (small plants), and TG plants is less than the re value of PPPS (large plants). While the elasticity value with respect to efficiency is lower in large plants than in small ones. Our analysis confirms RE has two impacts: 1) it reduces the effectiveness of new technologies, i.e. PPP and IEP CC since (transformation) efficiency does not always translate into savings in ng; 2) small plants (IEPS) react very quickly to a rise in the price of gas and reduce their consumption, while PPPS operated by Comisión Federal de Electricidad (CFE) react slowly to changes in the price of NG.

Keywords : energy policy; energy efficiency; natural gas; Q3; Q35; Q38; Q40.

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