Abstract

RAMIREZ-SILVA, Roberto Alejandro; CRUZ-AKE, Salvador  and  VENEGAS-MARTINEZ, Francisco. Volatility Contagion of Stock Returns of Microfinance Institutions in Emerging Markets: A DCC-M-GARCH Model. Rev. mex. econ. finanz [online]. 2018, vol.13, n.3, pp.325-343. ISSN 2448-6795.  https://doi.org/10.21919/remef.v13i3.326.

The objective of this paper is to analyze the contagion in the returns on the volatilities of the Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) that are listed in emerging stock markets in India, Indonesia, and Mexico. For this, local benchmarking variables and the global index-All Countries World Index (ACWI)-are included in the analysis. The methodology used is a Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) multivariable GARCH model. The empirical findings show that contagion effects only occur in periods of high volatility. One limitation of this research is that there are still few MFIs listed in stock markets, which does not allow for a broader study. The originality of this paper is the analysis of contagion in the returns of MFIs listed in stock markets. It is concluded that the performance of the analyzed MFIs is not affected by external effects of volatility, but rather for its fundamental results reflected in their level of liquidity in the stock market.

Keywords : C01; C32; G2; Microfinance institutions; volatility of returns; GARCH and M-GARCH models; Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC).

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