Abstract

BEKERMAN, Marta  and  CERDEIRO, Diego A. Crisis y patrón de especialización comercial en economías emergentes: El caso de Argentina. Prob. Des [online]. 2007, vol.38, n.150, pp.133-165. ISSN 0301-7036.

Starting from the profound transformations in the Argentine economy in recent years, this paper analyzes the evolution of trade specialization patterns, due to their effects on the long-term sustainability of economic growth and income distribution. This shows that, although a strong expansion in exports has been seen recently, the pattern of trade specialization continues to reflect a concentrated profile of primary goods and manufactures with low-level technology and job content. In other words, there has still been no structural transformation in the competitiveness of sectors unassociated with natural resources, compared with those that make abundant use of them. However, this phenomenon is taking place in a context where important modifications are occurring in the distribution of trade balances with different partners, where China is starting to acquire an important role. At the same time, the study points to the relationship between these modifications and the evolution of the pattern of specialization.

Keywords : economic development; pattern of trade specialization; comparative advantage; commercial opening; regional integration.

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