SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

vol.41 número123Pet families. Modos de leer nuevas formas de vivir juntos índice de autoresíndice de materiabúsqueda de artículos
Home Pagelista alfabética de revistas  

Servicios Personalizados




Links relacionados

  • No hay artículos similaresSimilares en SciELO


Estudios sociológicos

versión On-line ISSN 2448-6442versión impresa ISSN 0185-4186


NAJERA, Héctor; CORTES, Fernando  y  VARGAS, Delfino. One Year of Municipal Contagion of SARS.CoV-2 in Mexico: A Bayesian Spatial Hierarchical Analysis. Estud. sociol [online]. 2023, vol.41, n.123, pp.629-666.  Epub 12-Feb-2024. ISSN 2448-6442.

This article expands the results of previous research exploring the role of social structure in the volume of infections, in both space and time. The study uses bi-weekly, municipal information over a twelve-month period in Mexico. The analysis is conducted in two phases, the first of which is based on a cross sectional hierarchical model. The second uses Bayesian methods to model the geographical proximity of municipalities to explain the spread of Covid-19. The results suggest that the spatial distribution of Covid-19 infections can be explained by the population’s geographical distribution across municipalities, social interactions, and poverty and inequality levels, rather than the intensity of the pandemic.

Palabras llave : Covid-19; poverty; inequality; Bayesian modelling; spatial analysis.

        · resumen en Español     · texto en Español     · Español ( pdf )