Resumen

DIAZ JIMENEZ, Oniel Francisco; ALVA-RIVERA, Miguel Eduardo  y  TELLEZ DOMINGUEZ, Edwing. Cleavages, Images, Partisanship or Negative Partisanship? Mexican Voting Behavior in Comparative Perspective (2012-2021). Rev. mex. opinión pública [online]. 2024, n.37, pp.159-198.  Epub 04-Feb-2025. ISSN 2448-4911.  https://doi.org/10.22201/fcpys.24484911e.2024.37.88148.

Voting is one of the most relevant forms of political participation in contemporary democracies. The aim of this paper is to analyze the trends in Mexican electoral behavior from 2012 to 2021, with particular emphasis on assessing the weight of shortterm factors that influence voting against long-term variables such as ideology and partisanship. Based on logistic regression models, it shows how electoral behavior in the 2018 and 2021 elections has been increasingly significantly influenced by short-term variables, such as images of candidates and opinions on a number of (performance and positional) issues. Likewise, it shows a decline of the impact of long-term factors, particularly of demographic and socioeconomic factors, that can be seen as explanatory variables of voting patterns of Mexican citizens.

Palabras llave : Voting behavior; partisanship; apartisans; negative partisanship; cleavages; candidate images.

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