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Economía UNAM

versão impressa ISSN 1665-952X


CASAR, José I.. No news on the front: economic policy in 2019-2020. Economía UNAM [online]. 2020, vol.17, n.49, pp.66-84.  Epub 22-Dez-2020. ISSN 1665-952X.

This paper analyses the macroeconomic policy for 2019 and 2020 implemented by the new Mexican government highlighting its continuity with that of the previous three governments, headed by different political parties. Policy continuity involves monetary policy, a strategy of inflation targets and a flexible exchange rate, fiscal policy, which extends fiscal consolidation through primary surpluses independently of the size of the output gap and the unwillingness to consider fiscal reform as a means to increase public income. Section II explores the origins of this policy scheme and its effect on stability and long run economic growth. Section III addresses the implications of renouncing fiscal reform and its impact on the perspectives for income distribution and economic growth. Finally, the paper presents a brief analysis of the short and mid-term prospects for the Mexican economy, suggesting that in the absence of policy changes, growth will be at best, similar to that of the past two decades.

Palavras-chave : Economic Growth; Public Economics; Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents; Economic Development; F43; H; H3; O1.

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