Abstract

OSORIO CABALLERO, María Isabel  and  NEGREROS AMAYA, Gonzalo Esteban. Migration and integration in North America: an approach from the Thirlwall model. Rev. mex. econ. finanz [online]. 2024, vol.19, n.3, e995.  Epub Oct 15, 2024. ISSN 2448-6795.  https://doi.org/10.21919/remef.v19i3.995.

The objective of this research is to theoretically and empirically analyze migration from Mexico to the United States and Canada during the recent period from the point of view of Anthony Thirlwall's model (1979). The hypothesis to be evaluated is that migration flows from economies with lower income elasticity of demand for exports to economies with greater income elasticity of demand for exports, for this we have created a proxy variable of the product rate called TPNR that does not restrict growth. In addition to this, we incorporate typical covariates from the gravity models widely used in economic literature that reflect regional macroeconomic characteristics such as income level, geodesic distance, population and, as a dependent variable, unidirectional flow of people changing residence. The results confirm that the productive structure is the main reason for migration from Mexico to the United States and Canada.

Keywords : Migration; balance of payments; Free Trade Agreement; gravity model.

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