Resumo

CAMPOS VAZQUEZ, Raymundo M.  e  CHIGUIL-ROJAS, Atzin. Effect of the minimum wage on employment in Mexico (2018-2024). Prob. Des [online]. 2025, vol.56, n.223, pp.87-118.  Epub 10-Abr-2026. ISSN 0301-7036.  https://doi.org/10.22201/iiec.20078951e.2025.223.70415.

This study evaluates the effects of the cumulative increase in the minimum wage since 2018 on employment in Mexico, treating the country as a single unit. To this end, two methodologies were employed. First, the synthetic control method was used to compare Mexico with similar Latin American countries that did not experience a sustained increase in the minimum wage. Second, we used aggregate information from cities that self-represent in the National Occupation and Employment Survey (NOES) in Mexico, taking advantage of the heterogeneity in how the minimum wage affects each city. The results suggest that there have been no negative effects on employment.

Palavras-chave : wage; employment; labor market; synthetic control; informality.

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