Abstract

RENTERIA RAMOS, Rafael Ricardo  and  VITALE ALFONSO, Alicia María. Migration dynamics in Risaralda, Colombia: Agent-based model. Estud. demogr. urbanos [online]. 2023, vol.38, n.2, pp.415-460.  Epub Sep 11, 2023. ISSN 2448-6515.  https://doi.org/10.24201/edu.v38i2.2006.

An agent-based model is presented to study the migratory behavior of the department of Risaralda, Colombia. For its construction, three fundamental elements for the population dynamics were considered: the decision-making to migrate, with the development of a Bayesian model; the attraction component, through a gravitational model; and the application of the minimalist approach using models based on agents in studies of migration by decision. The results show that the migratory dynamics of the department have routes with a high concentration of social capital, which condition the arrival and expulsion of the population, modifying its structure.

Keywords : model based on agents; migratory decisions; gravitational model.

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