<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1405-7425</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Papeles de población]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Pap. poblac]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1405-7425</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, Centro de Investigación y Estudios Avanzados de la Población]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1405-74252018000300063</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22185/24487147.2018.97.25</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Tablas de mortalidad de Ecuador continental mediante un análisis de supervivencia]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Mortality tables of continental Ecuador using a survival analysis]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Francisco]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Solórzano]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mario]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ochoa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gina]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García Bustos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Sandra]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cevallos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Solange]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral Centro de Estudios e Investigaciones Estadísticas ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Guayaquil ]]></addr-line>
<country>Ecuador</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>24</volume>
<numero>97</numero>
<fpage>63</fpage>
<lpage>83</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1405-74252018000300063&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1405-74252018000300063&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1405-74252018000300063&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Según investigaciones anteriores realizadas sobre mortalidad en Ecuador, existen tablas de mortalidad elaboradas de los datos del censo de 2001; sin embargo, no hay tablas actualizadas. Aunque las tablas de mortalidad son usualmente analizadas por sexo, existen otros factores que son influyentes. El objetivo de esta investigación es identificar si los factores tales como el sexo y el área de residencia influyen en la supervivencia de la población continental del Ecuador para 2010. A fin de determinar los factores que son influyentes en la supervivencia de la población fue utilizada la técnica de regresión logística y para la construcción de las tablas de mortalidad se utilizó el método clásico actuarial. El análisis muestra que el sexo, el área de residencia y su interacción, afectan la supervivencia de la población.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: According to previous research carried out on mortality in Ecuador, the country has life tables drawn from the 2001 census data, however, there are no updated tables. Although mortality tables are usually analyzed by sex, there are other factors that are influential. This research goal is to identify whether factors such as sex and the area of residence influence the survival of the population of mainland Ecuador by 2010.To determine the factors that influence the survival of the population, the Logistic Regression technique was used, and for the construction of the mortality tables, the classic actuarial method is used. The analysis shows that sex, area of residence and its interaction, affect the survival of the population.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Esperanza de vida]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[tablas de vida]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[regresión logística]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[método actuarial]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[supervivencia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[método de Swanson]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Life expectancy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[life tables]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[logistic regression]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[actuarial method]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[survival-Swanson method]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Acheampong]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G. K.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Avorgbedor]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Determinants of under Five Mortality in Ghana; A Logistic Regression Analysis Using Evidence from the Demographic and Health Survey (1988-2014)]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[American Journal of Public Health Research]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<volume>5</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>70-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Bureau, US Census</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2016]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="confpro">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Capa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lara]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Construcción de tablas de mortalidad de la población ecuatoriana con base en el censo 2001 y estadísticas vitales]]></source>
<year>2004</year>
<conf-name><![CDATA[ IXEncuentro de Matemática y sus aplicaciones]]></conf-name>
<conf-loc>Quito, Ecuador </conf-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>CEPAL</collab>
<source><![CDATA[América Latina: Tablas de Mortalidad 1950-2025]]></source>
<year>2004</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Santiago de Chile ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Boletín Demográfico]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chutinantakul]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mayeng]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tongkumchum]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Estimation of mortality with missing data using logistic regression]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Songklanakarin J. Sci. Technol]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>36</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>249-54</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Comisión Especial de las Estadísticas de la Salud del Ecuador</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Homologación del Cálculo de la Estimación del Sub-registro de mortalidad del Ecuador]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Quito-Ecuador ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Davidian]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Giltinan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Nonlinear models for repeated measurement data]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability]]></source>
<year>1995</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nueva York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Chapman and Hall/CRC]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Debón]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Montes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sala]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A Comparison of Nonparametric Methods in the Graduation of Mortality: Application to Data from the Valencia Region (Spain)]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Statistical Review / Revue Internationale De Statistique]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<volume>74</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>215-33</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guerrero]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Silva]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Smoothing a Time Series by Segments of the Data Range]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>44</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>4568-85</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guilkey]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rindfuss]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Logistic Regression Multivariate Life Tables: A Communicable Approach]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Sociological Methods and Research]]></source>
<year>1987</year>
<volume>16</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>276-300</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gujarati]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Porter]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Econometría]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Mck-Graw Hill Interamericana]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos</collab>
<source><![CDATA[La mortalidad en el Ecuador: periodo 1990-2001]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Quito-Ecuador ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Proyecciones de la Población de la República del Ecuador 2010-2050]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Quito-Ecuador ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Compendio Estadístico 2015]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Quito-Ecuador ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kleinbaum]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Klein]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Logistic regression: a self-learning text. Statistics for Biology and Health]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nueva York- United Stated ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Springer]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Navarro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Schmidt]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Meneses]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramírez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Factores sociodemográficos y seguimiento prenatal asociados a la mortalidad perinatal en gestantes de Colombia]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Nutrición hospitalaria]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>32</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>1091-8</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Madrid-España ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Newey]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[W.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[McFadden]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing. Handbook of econometrics]]></source>
<year>1994</year>
<page-range>2111-245</page-range><publisher-name><![CDATA[Elsevier Science]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Paredes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Silva]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[&#8220;Estimación de la esperanza de vida a nivel municipal y por marginación sociodemográfica: una aplicación del método de Swanson para el caso de México, 2010]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<volume>33</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rivadeneira]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Ecuador: Tablas Completas de Mortalidad]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Quito-Ecuador ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[SENPLADES]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sánchez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Construcción de una tabla de mortalidad para la población ecuatoriana]]></source>
<year>2000</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Guayaquil-Ecuador ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Silva]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guerrero]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Peña]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Suavizamiento controlado de tasas de mortalidad con P-splines: Aplicaciones para México y el Reino Unido]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Papeles de Población]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>20</volume>
<numero>79</numero>
<issue>79</issue>
<page-range>99-131</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Singh]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Siahpush]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Widening Rural-Urban disparities in Life Expectancy, U.S., 1969-2009]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[American Journal of Preventive Medicine]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>46</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>e19-29</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[United Stated ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Swanson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[David]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A state-based regression model for estimating substate life expectancy]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Demography]]></source>
<year>1989</year>
<volume>26</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>161-70</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tomé]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Reyes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Piña]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gutiérrez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Características asociadas al subregistro de muerte en niños del estado de Guerrero, México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Salud Pública de México]]></source>
<year>1997</year>
<volume>39</volume>
<numero>6</numero>
<issue>6</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vrieze]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. I.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Model selection and psychological theory: a discussion of the differences between the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC)]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Psychological Methods]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>17</volume>
<page-range>228-43</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[United Stated ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wilson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lorenz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Modeling Binary Correlated Responses using SAS, SPSS and R]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nueva York, United Stated ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Springer]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B27">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Yusuf]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martins]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Swanson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Methods of Demographic Analysis]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nueva York- United Stated ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Springer]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B28">
<nlm-citation citation-type="confpro">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhu]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Z.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Logistic regression for insured mortality experience studies]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<conf-name><![CDATA[ The Living to 100 Symposium]]></conf-name>
<conf-loc>Orlando, Florida </conf-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
