<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2255-3371</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Vectores de investigación]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Vectores investig.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2255-3371</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro de Investigación y de Estudios de América Latina A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2255-33712017000100121</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Prospectiva en la toma de decisiones dentro de un escenario crítico: crimen organizado global]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Prospect on the policy-making within a critical scenary: global organised crime]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fernández-Carrión]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Miguel-Héctor]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Centro de Investigación y de Estudios de América Latina A.C.  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>México</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12-13</volume>
<numero>12-13</numero>
<fpage>121</fpage>
<lpage>196</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2255-33712017000100121&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2255-33712017000100121&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2255-33712017000100121&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN De forma teórica, contraria a una posición apolítico y a la manera de un ser que no vive la realidad que habita, es decir que niega lo que ve, y niega la realidad social, política y social tal como es en el momento presente, FEFAP (Fundación para le Educación y Formación en Anticipación Política/Foundation for Education and Training in Political Anticipation) demanda de nuestra atención, pues &#8220;la rápida mutación del mundo actual plantea, hoy, la necesidad de prever su evolución para tomar todas las decisiones serenamente, ya sean sobre inversiones, política u otras&#8221; (FEFAP, s/f: 1). A título personal, como politólogo independiente, coincidente con el criterio de parte de la ciudanía que sufre el poder del crimen organizado establecido globalmente sobre su vida y su economía personal, cabe preguntarse ¿Quién necesita &#8220;prever&#8221; la evolución del mundo actual para &#8220;tomar las decisiones serenas&#8221;?: al Parlamento Europeo, a Angela Merkel -canciller de Alemania-, o a los Estados Unidos que &#8220;mediatiza&#8221; a Europa y la hace depender de su política internacional (y dentro de los Estados Unidos: el Pentágono, la CIA, la NSA, el grupo secreto Bilderberg o Donald Trump -actual presidente de EEUU-, quienes a su manera se proponen encabezar una especie de gobernanza anticipada), o Al Qaeda, por ejemplo; pero en el caso de México, cabría preguntarse si le importa al PRI, a Peña Nieto -actual presidente de México- o a los padres de los desaparecidos de Ayotzinapa&#8230; Es importante saber en primer lugar a quién le interesa efectuar la prospectiva y posteriormente preguntarnos las intenciones que les motiva a hacerlo, pues ello nos marcará los resultados que probablemente se van a obtener de dicha prospectiva pública o secreta.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT From a theoretical point of view, contrary to an apolitical position and to the way of life of a being that denies that who sees and that denies the social reality, political and social as it is in the current times, FEFAP (Fundación para la Educación y Formación en Anticipación Política/Foundation for Education and Training in Political Anticipation) demands our attention, as the &#8220;rapid mutation of the current world poses, today, the need of previewing its evolution to take with serenity every decision, on investments, politics or others&#8221; (FEFAP, s/f: 1). For my part, as an independent political scientist, coinciding with the criterium of many citizens which experience the power of the organised crime, globally set on their lives and their personal economy, the question arise of Who needs to preview today world&#8217;s evolution to take &#8220;calm decisions&#8221;? The European Parliament, Angela Merkel -Chancellor of Germany-, the United States, that &#8220;mediatise&#8221; Europe, guiding its international agenda (and, within the United States, the Pentagon, CIA, NSA, the secret group Bilderberg or Donald Trump -the current US president-, that, in their way, mean to lead a kind of anticipied governance), or to Al Qaeda, for example; but in the case of Mexico, it arises the question of whether it matters to the PRI, to Peña Nieto -the current president of Mexico- or to the parents of the Ayotzinapa disappeared people&#8230; It is important to know first who is interested on tracing out the prospect and then to ask ourselves for the motivations, because that will result the probable outcomes of that, public or secret, prospect.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Prospectiva]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[escenario crítico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crimen global]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Prospective]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[critical scenario]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[global crime]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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