<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-7742</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Política y cultura]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Polít. cult.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-7742</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Unidad Xochimilco]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-77422017000200179</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Crecimiento restringido por balanza de pagos y cambio estructural en la economía de los Estados Unidos]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Growth restricted by balance of payments and structural change in the economy of the United States]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zamora Ortiz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Luis]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Farfán Cabrera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[María Teresa]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Chalcatongo  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ Oaxaca]]></addr-line>
<country>México</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,UAM Departamento de Política y Cultura ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>48</numero>
<fpage>179</fpage>
<lpage>200</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-77422017000200179&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-77422017000200179&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-77422017000200179&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Este artículo aplica el modelo de crecimiento restringido por balanza de pagos (MCRBP) a la economía de los Estados Unidos y considera la posible existencia de un choque estructural cuando se estima el modelo. Se hace uso de la prueba de cointegración propuesta por Gregory y Hansen para estimar los parámetros. Mediante vectores de corrección de error se exploran los ajustes de corto plazo. Se encontró que la tasa de crecimiento promedio pronosticada por el MCRBP es muy similar a la tasa de crecimiento promedio verdadera a lo largo del periodo de estudio (1970-2015).]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: This study applies the balance-of-payments constrained growth model to the economy of the United States and considers the possible existence of a structural break when estimating the model. We use the cointegration test proposed by Gregory and Hansen to estimate the parameters. Short-term adjustments are explored using error correction vectors. It was found that the average growth rate predicted by the balance-of-payments constrained growth model is very similar to the true average growth rate over the study period (1970-2015).]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[ley de Thirlwall]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento económico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio estructural]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Estados Unidos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cointegración]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Thirlwall&#8217;s law]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[economic growth]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[structural change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[United States]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[cointegration]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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