<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2448-718X</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre económico]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre econ]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2448-718X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Fondo de Cultura Económica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2448-718X2016000400635</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20430/ete.v83i332.235</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Modelos de crecimiento, estacionariedad y rompimientos: comparación entre las tendencias de crecimiento de las economías de la OCDE y las de los países menos desarrollados]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Growth Models, Stationarity and Breakups: Comparison between the Growth Trends of the OECD Economies and Less Developed Countries]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hernández-Veleros]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Zeus Salvador]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[McDougall]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Brian]]></given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Azanza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Karina]]></given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Hidalgo Instituto de Ciencias Económico Administrativas, Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>83</volume>
<numero>332</numero>
<fpage>635</fpage>
<lpage>678</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2448-718X2016000400635&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2448-718X2016000400635&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2448-718X2016000400635&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: El objetivo de este artículo es definir si los productos internos brutos per cápita (PIBPC) de 145 economías tienen una raíz unitaria con rompimientos o si son estacionarios en tendencia con rompimientos durante el periodo 1950-2000, para, a partir de ello, establecer una relación con los modelos de crecimiento (endógenos y exógenos) y con los cambios, tanto en los fundamentos económicos como en el progreso tecnológico; situaciones que rompen las tendencias (intersecciones y pendientes) bajo la guía de Lau (1997). Adicionalmente, se identifican los cambios en las tendencias de crecimiento de largo plazo en una forma similar a lo hecho por Ben-David y Papell (1998) para 74 países, pero mediante la prueba panel de estacionariedad con rompimientos múltiples de Carrion-i-Silvestre, et al. (2005). Con esto en mente, se definen doce diferentes tipos de rompimientos al comparar la tasa de crecimiento promedio prerrompimiento con la tasa de crecimiento promedio posrompimiento. Derivado de esta clasificación, se examina si la desaceleración en las economías de la Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económicos (OCDE) ocurrió antes, durante o después de la desaceleración de las Economías Menos Desarrolladas (EMD). Asimismo, se plantean algunas de las causas de las desaceleraciones y las crisis en las Economías de América Latina (EAL), ya sea por factores internos, externos, comunes a varias economías o por factores particulares a alguna de ellas.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: The aim of this article is to define whether the per capita Gross Domestic Products (PCGDP) of 145 economies have a unit root with breaks or are trend stationary with breaks during the period 1950-2000, and then establish a relation with growth models (endogenous and exogenous) and with changes in economic fundamentals or changes in technological progress that break trends (intercepts or slopes) under the guide of Lau (1997). Additionally, we identify changes in the long-term growth trends of these economies in a way similar to that described by Ben-David and Papell (1998) in their study of 74 countries, but now using the panel stationarity test with multiple breaks of Carrion-i-Silvestre, et al. (2005). With this in mind, we define twelve different kinds of breaks, defined to compare average growth rate pre-break versus the average growth rate post break. The analysis examined whether the slowdown in member economies of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) occurred before, concurrent with or after the slowdown in the Least Developed Economies (LDE). We also look at some of the causes of the slowdowns and meltdowns in Latin American Economies (LAE), including some that were internal, some external, some common to various economies, and some peculiar to just one.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Cambio estructural]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[raíz unitaria]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[desaceleración]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[historia económica comparativa]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento de países en desarrollo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelos de crecimiento]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento económico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Structural Change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Unit Root]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Slowdown]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Comparative Economic History]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Growth of Developing Countries]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Growth Models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Economic Growth]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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