<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1405-5546</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Computación y Sistemas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Comp. y Sist.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1405-5546</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Centro de Investigación en Computación]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1405-55462023000200545</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.13053/cys-27-2-4382</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Impact of Bayesian Approach to Demand Management in Supply Chains for the Consumption of Dynamic Products]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Taquía Gutiérrez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Antonio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Lima Instituto de Investigación Científica ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Lima ]]></addr-line>
<country>Peru</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>27</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>545</fpage>
<lpage>552</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1405-55462023000200545&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1405-55462023000200545&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1405-55462023000200545&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: Bayesian approach was applied to the management of the supply chain in a dynamic food product portfolio for a company in the retail sector. We propose a quasi-experimental method considering pre and posttest and a control group. The sample size of 93 products, out of a population of 120 products from two categories: classic sauces and gourmet sauces. R and Python programming languages were used and libraries for random sampling of the a priori distribution of the products to obtain posterior values área presented on the research. Forecast accuracy increased with the Bayesian approach by 10%. Likewise, it was possible to reduce the coverage inventory from 2 to 1.2 months and the discrepancy between the values of the Bayesian estimate with the traditional method was possible to reach a 5% error in the variation.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Supply chain]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Bayesian approach]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[retail products]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[critical fractile]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[balanced operations]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gaspars-Wieloch]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Newsvendor problem under complete uncertainty: a case of innovative products]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Central European journal of operations research]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<volume>25</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>561-85</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hulthén]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Näslund]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Norrman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Framework for measuring performance of the sales and operations planning process]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Physical Distribution &amp; Logistics Management; Bradford]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>46</volume>
<numero>9</numero>
<issue>9</issue>
<page-range>809-35</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fildes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Goodwin]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems: A case study in a supply chain company]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Forecasting]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>37</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>1031-46</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Moazzam]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Akhtar]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Garnevska]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Marr]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Measuring agri-food supply chain performance and risk through a new analytical framework: A case study of New Zealand dairy]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Production Planning &amp; Control]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<volume>29</volume>
<numero>15</numero>
<issue>15</issue>
<page-range>1258-74</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Van Engelenhoven]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kassahun]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tekinerdogan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Circular business processes in the state-of-the-practice: a survey study]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Sustainability]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>13</volume>
<numero>23</numero>
<issue>23</issue>
<page-range>13307</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Errassafi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Abbar]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Benabbou]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Z.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The mediating effect of internal integration on the relationship between supply chain integration and operational performance: Evidence from Moroccan manufacturing companies]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>254-73</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kreuter]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Scavarda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Thomé]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. M. T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hellingrath]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Seeling]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. X.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Empirical and theoretical perspectives in sales and operations planning]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Review of Managerial Science]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>16</volume>
<page-range>1-36</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Azzamouri]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Baptiste]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Dessevre]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pellerin]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Demand driven material requirements planning (DDMRP): A systematic review and classification]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>14</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>439-56</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Manders]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Caniëls]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ghijsen]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P. W.Th.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Supply chain flexibility: A systematic literature review and identification of directions for future research]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Logistics Management]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<volume>28</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>964-1026</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aiassi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sajadi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hadji-Molana]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zamani-Babgohari]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Designing a stochastic multi-objective simulation-based optimization model for sales and operations planning in built-to-order environment with uncertain distant outsourcing]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>104</volume>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Valencia Cárdenas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Díaz-Serna]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Correa-Morales]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. C.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Multi-product inventory modeling with demand forecasting and Bayesian optimization]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[DYNA]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>83</volume>
<numero>198</numero>
<issue>198</issue>
<page-range>235-43</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gallego-García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García-García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Predictive sales and operations planning based on a statistical treatment of demand to increase efficiency: A supply chain simulation case study]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Applied Sciences]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>11</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>233</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Seeling]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. X.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Scavarda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Thomé]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. M. T.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A sales and operations planning application in the Brazilian subsidiary of a multinational chemical company]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Brazilian Journal of Operations &amp; Production Management]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<volume>16</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>424-35</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Goh]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Eldridge]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Sales and Operations Planning: The effect of coordination mechanisms on supply chain performance]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Production Economics]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<volume>214</volume>
<page-range>80-94</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Roscoe]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Subramanian]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Prifti]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wu]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Stakeholder engagement in a sustainable sales and operations planning process]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Business Strategy and the Environment]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>29</volume>
<numero>8</numero>
<issue>8</issue>
<page-range>3526-41</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Valencia Cárdenas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Correa Morales]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Díaz Serna]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramírez Agudelo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Bayesian modeling application and optimization to demand forecasting]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ingeniería y Desarrollo]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>179-99</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Liu]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Z.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Qi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Dynamic pricing and inventory management with demand learning: A bayesian approach]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Computers &amp; operations research]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>124</volume>
<page-range>105078</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Prak]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Teunter]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Babai]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. Z.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Boylan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Syntetos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Robust compound Poisson parameter estimation for inventory control]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Omega]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>104</volume>
<page-range>102481</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
