<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-4611</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Investigaciones geográficas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Invest. Geog]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-4611</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geografía]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-46112024000300108</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.14350/rig.60863</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Pérdida de superficie agrícola en los distritos de riego del Estado de México y patrones de crecimiento urbano]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Loss of Agricultural Land in the Irrigation Districts of the State of Mexico and Urban Growth Patterns]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Romero-Padilla]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Arely]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hernández-Juárez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Martín]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Espinosa Herrera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Manuel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Texcoco Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Texcoco Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Texcoco Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>115</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-46112024000300108&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-46112024000300108&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-46112024000300108&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[resumen está disponible en el texto completo]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The global population growth demands more space for households and greater food availability, which directly and continuously affect the area of land dedicated to agriculture. In this context, the loss of agricultural area is related to the urban growth rate and population growth; therefore, understanding the relationship between the loss of such an area and urban expansion is important to predict the impacts of urbanization on agriculture. Despite the discouraging outlook regarding the loss of agricultural land loss, Rimal et al. pointed out that proper urban growth management can reduce agricultural land loss. However, knowing the configuration and spatial behavior of each place is necessary to improve our understanding of urban expansion and generate better territorial planning. The objectives of this study were to quantify and analyze the growth of urban area in the irrigation districts of the State of Mexico from 2010 to 2022, divided into two subperiods, 2010-2016 and 2016-2022, to identify the current urban growth patterns, and to understand the expectations of key actors regarding factors that influence the change from agricultural to urban land use. According to INEGI&#8217;s 2022 agriculture census, the area with farming use or vocation was 88.4 million hectares in Mexico and 1.1 million hectares in the State of Mexico. However, the spatial delimitation of the entire agricultural area is complex, as crops can be misidentified as another type of land use. For this reason, this study used data from the irrigation districts (ID) of the State of Mexico, whose information considers only plots that are or were dedicated to agriculture. The study area included the plots of the five IDs located in the northern part of the State of Mexico: 033 Estado de México, 044 Jilotepec, 073 La Concepción, 088 Chiconautla, and 096 Arroyozarco. The methodology consisted of a mixed approach that combined quantitative, qualitative, and spatial methods. Sentinel-2 satellite images from 2016 and 2022 and the vector layer of plots from 2010 were processed and analyzed to totally or partially identify urban plots and account for the loss of agricultural land. All images were processed with the QGIS software (v. 3.16). Furthermore, urban growth patterns within IDs were identified, and key actors were interviewed to learn about their perceptions and expectations regarding the loss of agricultural land to urbanization. The results showed urban growth in all IDs; however, the percentage of agricultural area loss varied according to the proximity of each district to the cities and the metropolitan area of Mexico City. The overall growth rate of the urban area was 0.7 during the period 2016-2022; the IDs with the highest urban growth rate were DR 044 Jilotepec and DR 088 Chiconautla. Although the districts are located within the same state and socioeconomic conditions may be similar, our results showed different urban growth patterns within each district. The urban growth patterns found are growth near roads, growth due to infrastructure construction, growth near metropolitan areas, sparse growth, and growth due to industrial development. Supplementing the spatial analysis, the interviews with key actors allowed for the identification of the factors that most likely influence the shift from agricultural to urban land use. The interviewed actors agree that the main drivers of urban growth are proximity to cities, the construction of roads, the construction of infrastructure or industrial zones, and the increase in quotas of power from irrigation wells. These findings suggest that, in general, to meet the needs of a growing population, more land is required at the expense of agricultural areas. On the other hand, the main factors that deter this change in land use are the profitability of agriculture, the advanced age of landowners, and the attachment of farmers to agriculture. Urbanization is a complex and continuous process that will persist in the coming years, so it is imperative to establish an orderly planning process according to the growth patterns and characteristics of each IR. On the other hand, intensification and innovation are key to increasing the efficiency of agricultural production, maximizing productivity with higher yields, and creating more efficient production systems using the available resources.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[expansión urbana]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[conversión de tierra agrícola]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[sensores remotos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[SIG]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio de uso de suelo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[urban growth]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[agricultural land conversion]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[remote sensing]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[GIS]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[land use change]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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