<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-3380</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Economía: teoría y práctica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Econ: teor. práct]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-3380</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, a través de la Unidad Iztapalapa, la Unidad Azcapotzalco y la Unidad Xochimilco, División de Ciencias Sociales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-33802020000300069</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24275/etypuam/ne/e052020/guzman</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Extensión de la pandemia Covid-19 frente al acceso a la vacuna y las capacidades tecnológicas y de innovación del sector biofarmacéutico de México]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Extension of the Covid-19 Pandemic Facing Access to the Vaccine and Technological and Innovative Capabilities in Mexico&#8217;s Biopharmaceutical Sector]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guzmán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alenka]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marco Antonio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Departamento de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Iztapalapa ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Departamento de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Iztapalapa ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>spe5</numero>
<fpage>69</fpage>
<lpage>98</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-33802020000300069&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-33802020000300069&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-33802020000300069&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El propósito de este artículo es analizar la relevancia del acceso de vacunas eficaces, las capacidades de absorción tecnológica endógenas en el sector biofarmacéutico y los factores que impulsan tales, que posibilitarían la contención exponencial de la Covid-19 en México y mejorar las condiciones de salud del país. Mediante simulaciones de la prolongación de la pandemia en México se corrobora que, sin la existencia de vacunas y su adecuado acceso a la población en todo el país, el virus SARS-COV-2 podría extenderse hasta mediados de 2022. El modelo Poissson propuesto, permite identificar que las capacidades de absorción tecnológica y de innovación del sector biofarmacéutico mexicano (lagtime Citation -BwPatCit-) aún son limitadas, pero que éstas podrían crecer al incrementar: stock de conocimiento tecnológico, tamaño de los equipos de investigación, patentes de firmas, vínculos ciencia académica-tecnología y valor de la patente citada. Fomentar la innovación biofarmacéutica tendrá impactos favorables al sistema de salud.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The aim of this paper is to analyze the relevance of efficient vaccine access, local absorption of technological capabilities in the bio-pharmaceutical sector and the factors fostering them, in order to contain the spread of Covid-19 and improve domestic health conditions. Having carried out pandemic extension simulations, we conclude that without adequate access of vaccines for Mexico&#8217;s entire population, the SARS-COV-2 virus, source of Covid-19, will probably remain in Mexico until mid-2022. Through the Poisson model proposed, we have found that the technological absorption and innovation capabilities of the Mexican biopharmaceutical sector (lagtime Citation -BwPatCit) are still scarce but could expand with an increase in: technological knowledge stock, team research size, academic science-technology links and cited patent value. The findings allow us to propose policies to foster bio-pharmaceutical innovation with a favorable health impact on the population.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Extensión Covid-19]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[vacunas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[capacidades absorción tecnológica-innovación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[sector biofarmacéutico mexicano]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Covid-19 spread]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[vaccines]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[technological and innovation capabilities]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mexican bio-pharmaceutical sector]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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