<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-3380</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Economía: teoría y práctica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Econ: teor. práct]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-3380</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, a través de la Unidad Iztapalapa, la Unidad Azcapotzalco y la Unidad Xochimilco, División de Ciencias Sociales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-33802017000200099</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24275/etypuam/ne/472017/gutierrez</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[El comercio intraindustrial y los modelos de equilibrio general, parcial y macroeconométrico: del TLCAN a la era de Trump]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Intra-industry trade and general, partial and macroeconometric equilibrium models: from NAFTA to the Trump age]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gutiérrez R.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Roberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>47</numero>
<fpage>99</fpage>
<lpage>134</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-33802017000200099&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-33802017000200099&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-33802017000200099&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Aunque suele afirmase que México es más proclive a mirar su pasado que vislumbrar su futuro, a partir de la crisis de 1982-83 se desplegaron esfuerzos para invertir los polos. Un instrumento crucial al respecto fue la puesta en operación, hace casi 25 años, del TLCAN, tomando en cuenta las opiniones de expertos en medición de los niveles de integración sectorial (comercio intraindustrial) y predicción del comportamiento de la economía (modelos de equilibrio general y parcial, así como macroeconométricos). Por una parte, el documento revisa la pertinencia de dichos cálculos, a partir de la misma metodología que los originó y de cuantificaciones expost. Por otra propone que, frente a la opción de retraimiento que ha dejado a los negociadores mexicanos la política comercial del Ejecutivo estadounidense, no sólo se insista en la diversificación y se reconsideren las bondades de la integración a partir del índice de comercio intraindustrial, sino que se continúe con la promoción del mercado interno, reforzando el incremento anual de 9.5% a los salarios mínimos, decretado en diciembre de 2016.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Although it is often said that Mexico is more inclined to look at its past than envision its future, from the 1982-83 crisis efforts were made to reverse the poles. A crucial instrument in this regard was the implementation, almost 25 years ago, of NAFTA, which took into account the opinions of experts in the measurement of the levels of sectoral integration (intraindustrial trade) and prediction of the behavior of the economy (general equilibrium and partial equilibrium models, as well as macroeconometric&#8217;s). On the one hand, the document examines the relevance of these calculations, based on the same methodology that gave rise to them and on expost quantifications. On the other hand, it proposes that, faced with the option of retreat that has left Mexican trade negotiators the commercial policy of the US Executive, the government should insist not only on diversification and on properly measuring the benefits of integration through the intraindustrial trade index, but to continue the promotion of the domestic market, at least reinforcing the annual increase of 9.5% to minimum wages, decreed in December 2016.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[TLCAN]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[comercio intraindustrial]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento económico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[desarrollo industrial]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelos de equilibrio general y parcial]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[NAFTA]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Intra-Industry Trade]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Economic Growth]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Industrial Development]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[General and Partial Equilibrium Models]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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