<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0186-7202</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Estudios Económicos (México, D.F.)]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Estud. Econ. (México, D.F.)]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0186-7202</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[El Colegio de México A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0186-72022022000200285</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24201/ee.v37i2.432</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Evaluación de diferentes métodos para la estimación del PIB potencial: el caso de México]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Evaluating different methods of potential GDP estimates: The case of Mexico]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Corona]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Francisco]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Orraca]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Pedro]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[López-Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jesús]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,El Colegio de la Frontera Norte  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>37</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>285</fpage>
<lpage>313</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0186-72022022000200285&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0186-72022022000200285&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0186-72022022000200285&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Con el objetivo de contribuir a la literatura que se centra en la estimación del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) potencial, en este trabajo se evalúa el funcionamiento de cuatro métodos de estimación del PIB potencial trimestral de México para el periodo 1998:T1-2020:T2. Los procedimientos utilizados para su estimación son: 1) métodos heurísticos, 2) el filtro de Hodrick Prescott, 3) el Modelo de Factores Dinámicos no estacionario y 4) la descomposición Permanente-Transitorio (PT) de Gonzalo y Granger (1995). Se concluye que, por razones econométricas, los mejores resultados se obtienen al usar la descomposición PT.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: With the purpose of contributing to the literature that focuses on the estimation of Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDP), this study evaluates four di&#64256;erent estimation methods of Potential GDP using quarterly data from Mexico for the period 1998:Q1-2020:Q2. The procedures used for its estimation are: 1) Heuristic methods, 2) The Ho-drick Prescott filter, 3) Non-Stationary Dynamic Factor Model, and 4) The Permanent-Transient (PT) decomposition of Gonzalo and Granger (1995). We conclude that, econometrically, the best results are obtained when using the PT decomposition.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[filtro HP]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[descomposición PT]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[métodos heurísticos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo de factores dinámicos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[PIB potencial]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[HP Filter]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[PT decomposition]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[heuristic methods]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Dynamic Factor Models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[potential GDP]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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