<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2448-8402</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Ensayos. Revista de economía]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Ens. Rev. econ.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2448-8402</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, a través de la Facultad de Economía con la colaboración del Centro de Investigaciones Económicas]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2448-84022018000100099</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Sostenibilidad del Gasto Público: cobertura y financiamiento de enfermedades crónicas en México]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Public Spending Sustainability: Coverage and Financing of Chronic Diseases in Mexico]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Macías Sánchez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alejandra]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Villarreal Páez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Héctor Juan]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Tecnológico de Monterrey School of Government and Public Transformation ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ México, D.F.]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Tecnológico de Monterrey School of Government and Public Transformation ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>37</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>99</fpage>
<lpage>133</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2448-84022018000100099&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2448-84022018000100099&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2448-84022018000100099&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Este artículo analiza la sostenibilidad del gasto público en salud, desde la perspectiva del costo de las principales enfermedades crónicas que padece la población mexicana, y que debe cubrir el gobierno federal. Asimismo, pretende abrir la discusión sobre la cobertura efectiva universal de salud en México, a través de una herramienta de microsimulación que permita presentar y evaluar diferentes escenarios en cuanto a su costo financiero, para poder hacer propuestas de financiamiento sostenible, principalmente porque se están enfrentando cambios demográficos y epidemiológicos que conllevan aumentos en los costos de atención médica.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract This article analyzes the sustainability of public health expenditures from the cost perspective of the principle chronic diseases that the Mexican population suffers and the Mexican Government would finance. Also, it pretends to contribute to the discussion of universal effective health coverage in Mexico by providing a micro simulation tool which would evaluate different scenarios about financial costs of universal coverage. As a result, fiscally sustainable proposals can be made based on this microsimulation tool that consider the demographic and epidemiological changes that translate into costs increases.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Gasto público en salud]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Modelos de simulación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Enfermedades crónicas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Transición demográfica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Cambios Epidemiológicos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Sostenibilidad Fiscal]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Public health spending]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Simulation models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Chronic diseases]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Demographic transition]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Epidemiological changes]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Fiscal sustainability]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lagomarsino]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Garabrant]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Adyas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Muga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Otoo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Moving towards universal health coverage: health insurance reforms in nine developing countries in Africa and Asia]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Lancet]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>380</volume>
<numero>9845</numero>
<issue>9845</issue>
<page-range>933-43</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>CIEP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Estado actual de la Seguridad Social en México, 2013]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>CONAPO</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Consejo Nacional de Población]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>CONEVAL</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Medición de la Pobreza]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cotler]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez-Orregia]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Microfinanzas y bienestar en el hogar en México]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Escuela de Graduados en Admnistración Pública]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lymer]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brown]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Developing a Dynamic Microsimualtion Model of the Australian Health System: A means to Explore Impacts on obesity over the Next 50 Years]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Epideiology Research International]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<page-range>1-14</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ávila-Burgos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Serván-Mori]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wirtz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sosa-Rubí]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Salinas-Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Efectos del Seguro Popular sobre el gasto en salud en hogares mexicanos a diez años de su implementación]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Salud pública de méxico]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>55</volume>
<page-range>S91-9</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Arredondo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Type 2 diabetes and health care costs in Latin]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Medicine for Global Health]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<page-range>12-136</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Banco Mundial</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Cobertura universal de salud: Panorama general]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bolaños]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R. d.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Shigematsu]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruíz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Márquez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ávila]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Costos directos de atención médica en pacientes con diabetes mellitus tipo 2 en México: análisis de microcosteo]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Rev Panam Salud Publica]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<volume>28</volume>
<numero>6</numero>
<issue>6</issue>
<page-range>412-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bourgignon]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Spadaro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Microsimulation as a tool for evaluating redistribution policies]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Economic Inequality]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<page-range>77-106</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bray]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Jemal]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Torre]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Forman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vineis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Long-term realism and cost-effectiveness: primary prevention in combatting cancer and associated inequalities worldwide]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of the National Cancer Institute]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>107</volume>
<numero>12</numero>
<issue>12</issue>
<page-range>djv273</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Deaton]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Great Escape: health, wealth, and the origins of inequality]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Princeton ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Princeton University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Glassman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zoloa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. I.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[How Much Will Health Coverage Cost? Future Health Spending Scenarios in Brazil]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Chile ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gómez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[O.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sesma]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Becerril]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Knaul]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Arreola]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Frenk]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Sistema de Salud en México]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cuernavaca, Morelos ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Salud pública de México]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guzmán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. d.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vargas-Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. G.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Modelo" plural-integral" de atención primaria a la salud enfocado a la satisfacción del usuario]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Humanitas: Revista de Investigación]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>10</volume>
<numero>10</numero>
<issue>10</issue>
<page-range>149-60</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>IHME</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Global Burden Disease]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>IHME</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2010]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>IMSS</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Grupos Relacionados con el Diagnóstico (GDR)]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>IMSS</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Informe al Ejecutivo Federal y al Congreso de la Unión sobre la situación financiera y los riesgos del Instituto 2013-2014]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Mexico, D.F. ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>IMSS</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Memoria estadísticas 2015]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>IMSS</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Norma que establece las disposiciones generales para la aplicación de los grupos relacionados con el diagnóstico en el Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>INSP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Encuesta Nacional de Salud y Nutrición]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Manuel]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D. G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tuna]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hennessy]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bennett]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Okhmatovskaia]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Finès]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Projections of preventable risks for cardiovascular disease in Canada to 2021: a microsimulation modelling approach]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[CMJA Open]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>E94-E101</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Musgrove]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[¿ Cuanto mas vale prevenir que curar? reflexiones sobre la distribución de gastos en la atención médica]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Economía]]></source>
<year>1987</year>
<volume>10</volume>
<numero>19</numero>
<issue>19</issue>
<page-range>91-9</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>OCDE Health Division</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Toward a New Comprehensive International Health and Health Care Policy Desicion Support Tool]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[OECD Health Division]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B27">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>OECD</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Health at a Glance 2015]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B28">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>OMENT</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Últimas cifras de diabetes en México- ENSANUT MC 2016]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B29">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>OMENT</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Uno de cada cuatro mexicanos padece hipertensión arterial - ENSANUT 2016]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B30">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>OMS</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Cobertura Universal]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B31">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Paolillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Russi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[U.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cabrera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martins]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Scasso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Constantin]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Grupos Relacionados por el Diagnóstico (GRD). Experiencia con IR-GRD en el Sanatorio Americano, sistema FEMI]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Revista Médica del Uruguay]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<volume>24</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>257-65</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B32">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pichon-Riviere]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Augustovski]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bardach]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Colantonio]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<collab>Group3, f. t.</collab>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Development and Validation of a Microsimulation Economic Model to Evaluate the Disease Burden Associated with Smoking and the Cost- Effectiveness of Tobacco Control Interventions in Latin America]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Value in Health]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>14</volume>
<page-range>S51-9</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B33">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>PiPP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Caracterizacion de modelos sanitarios y sistemas sanitarios]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B34">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Richard]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Shin]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Beeson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Burke]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wood]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rosenbaum]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Quality and Cost of Diabetes Mellitus Care in]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[PLoS ONE]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>10</volume>
<numero>12</numero>
<issue>12</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B35">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez Bolaños]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R. d.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Reynales Shigematsu]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Jiménez Ruiz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Juárez Márquez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hernández Ávila]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Costos directos de atención médica en pacientes con diabetes mellitus tipo 2 en México: análisis]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Panam Salud Publica]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<page-range>412-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B36">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rutter]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zaslavsky]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Feuer]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[a. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Dynamic microsimulation models for health outcomes: a review]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Medical Decision Making]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>31</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>10-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B37">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>SFP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Sectería de la Función Pública]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B38">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>SHCP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación 2013]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B39">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>SHCP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación 2014]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B40">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>SHCP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación 2015]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B41">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>SHCP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación 2016]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B42">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Soors]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[W.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Devadasan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Durairaj]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Criel]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Community Health Insurance and Universal Coverage: Multiple paths, many rivers to cross]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B43">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Statistics Canada</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Pohem (Population Health Model)]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B44">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Urquieta-Salomón]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Villarreal-Páez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Evalution on health coverage in Mexico: evidence of progress and challenges in the Mexican health system]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B45">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>USC</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Royal Center for Health Policy Simulation]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B46">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Villarreal-Ríos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Campos Esparza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Galicia Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vargas Daza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E. R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Torres Labra]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Costo anual per cápita en primer nivel de atención por género]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ciência &amp; Saúde Coletiva]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>16</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>1961-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B47">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y. C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[McPherson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Marsh]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gortmaker]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brown]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Health and economic burden of the projected obesity trends in the USA and the UK]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[The Lancet]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>378</volume>
<numero>9793</numero>
<issue>9793</issue>
<page-range>815-25</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B48">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>World Bank</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Going Universal: How 24 countries are implementing universal health coverage reforms from the bottom up]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
