<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2448-718X</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre económico]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre econ]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2448-718X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Fondo de Cultura Económica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2448-718X2023000200531</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20430/ete.v90i358.1662</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Emisión de gases de efecto invernadero en la economía mexicana y políticas de mitigación, 2020-2030]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Greenhouse gas emissions in the Mexican economy and mitigation policies, 2020-2030]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruiz Nápoles]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Pablo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Castañeda León]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Javier]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Moreno Reyes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Eduardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Facultad de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>90</volume>
<numero>358</numero>
<fpage>531</fpage>
<lpage>551</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2448-718X2023000200531&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2448-718X2023000200531&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2448-718X2023000200531&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen En este trabajo desarrollamos un modelo de insumo-producto medioambiental para la economía mexicana con el fin de explorar qué tanto es posible reducir la emisión de gases de efecto invernadero (GEI) en la economía para 2030. El modelo muestra cómo nuevas tecnologías aplicadas en subsectores seleccionados de la economía reducen las emisiones totales y estima los impactos de tales tecnologías en las emisiones anuales de GEI hasta 2030. Utilizamos esta metodología con el propósito de estimar dos trayectorias: una a la que llamamos &#8220;base&#8221; y otra que resulta de simular un cambio tecnológico en las ramas seleccionadas. A partir de los resultados, concluimos que el cambio tecnológico, aun limitado a unas cuantas ramas, tiende a producir efectos benéficos importantes en materia de reducción de GEI.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract In this paper, we built an input-output environmental model for the Mexican economy to estimate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions produced by this economy to the year 2030 and to explore the possibilities for their reduction. The model shows how innovative technologies applied in selected subsectors of the economy might reduce total emissions, through their direct and indirect effects on other sectors. We used the model to calculate two trajectories: one called &#8220;business as usual&#8221; and another that results from simulating a technological change in selected sectors. We conclude from the results that technological change, even limited to a few sectors, tends to produce important beneficial effects in terms of GHG reduction.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[gases de efecto invernadero]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[insumo-producto]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio tecnológico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[C67]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[O13]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[O33]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Greenhouse gases]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[input-output]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[technological change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[C67]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[O13]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[O33]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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