<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2448-718X</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre económico]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre econ]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2448-718X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Fondo de Cultura Económica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2448-718X2008000200471</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Análisis del crecimiento en las manufacturas mexicanas. El problema de los datos perdidos (1929-1934)]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Angulo Palmero]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jesús Humberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Guillermo Peón]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Sylvia Beatriz]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Benemérita Universidad Autonóma de Puebla (BUAP) Facultad de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Benemérita Universidad Autonóma de Puebla Facultad de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2008</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2008</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>75</volume>
<numero>298</numero>
<fpage>471</fpage>
<lpage>518</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2448-718X2008000200471&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2448-718X2008000200471&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2448-718X2008000200471&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: El presente artículo se enfoca en el sesgo potencial en la estimación del crecimiento, generado por el problema de datos perdidos (o datos truncados) como consecuencia de cambios en la política censal. El análisis ayudará a indagar cuáles subsectores en la manufactura experimentaron crecimiento para mostrar pruebas que apoyen la hipótesis de una tasa de crecimiento positiva en el sector manufacturero completo durante el periodo 1929-1934. En particular analizamos el desempeño en la industria manufacturera mexicana desagregada por subsectores y durante el periodo 1929-1934, considerando que la política censal no fue homogénea para los dos censos de interés (y para los subsecuentes). Cuando un conjunto de datos es truncado, esto puede generar sesgo en el proceso de estimación. Sin embargo, el sesgo de estimaciones basadas en estos datos dependerá de qué tan importante sea la proporción de datos perdidos. Por tanto, una de las principales tareas en este artículo es examinar qué tan importante es el problema de datos perdidos para cada sector de la industria manufacturera mexicana, de tal manera que esto proporcione luz en cuanto a la confiabilidad de las estimaciones de las tasas de crecimiento del valor agregado que se calculan en el trabajo.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: The present paper focuses on the potential bias in growth estimation generated by the problem of missing data (or data truncation) due to changes in census survey policy. The analysis will help to ascertain which sub-sectors in manufacturing were experiencing growth to show evidence supporting the hypothesis of a positive growth rate in manufacturing as a whole during the period 1929-1934. We particularly analyze the performance of the Mexican manufacturing industry at sub-sector level of disaggregation and during the period 1929-1934 considering that census policy was not homogeneous for the two censuses of interest (and for subsequent ones). When any data set is truncated, this can generate bias in the estimation process. However, the bias in estimates based on these data sets will depend on how important the proportion of missing data is. Hence, one of the main tasks on this paper is to examine how important the missing data problem is for each sector of Mexican manufacturing in order to shed light on the reliability of Value Added growth rates estimates which are calculated in this paper.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento del valor agregado]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento de la industria manufacturera mexicana]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[problema de datos perdidos]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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</article>
