<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2448-718X</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre económico]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[El trimestre econ]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2448-718X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Fondo de Cultura Económica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2448-718X2007000400885</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[La infraestructura y el crecimiento económico en México]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Noriega]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Antonio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aaf"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fontenla]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Matías]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,aff1  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Banco de México  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Nuevo México  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2007</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2007</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>74</volume>
<numero>296</numero>
<fpage>885</fpage>
<lpage>900</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2448-718X2007000400885&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2448-718X2007000400885&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2448-718X2007000400885&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Establecemos un modelo teórico en el que la inversión en infraestructura complementa la inversión privada. Luego aportamos datos de series de tiempo en México del efecto de la infraestructura pública en la producción, y si estos niveles han sido fijados de manera óptima. En particular, estudiamos los efectos de largo plazo de choques en infraestructura en la producción real. Calculamos derivadas de largo plazo para los kilovatios de electricidad, los kilómetros de caminos y el número de líneas telefónicas instaladas. Encontramos que los choques en la infraestructura tienen efectos positivos y significativos en la producción para electricidad y caminos. Nuestros resultados respaldan los modelos en los que el crecimiento de largo plazo es causado por factores de producción endógenos. Para la electricidad y los caminos, la provisión de infraestructura no alcanza el nivel óptimo que maximiza el crecimiento.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: We develop a model where investment in infrastructure complements private investment. We then provide time series evidence for Mexico on both the impact of public infrastructure on output, and on the optimality with which levels of infrastructure have been set. In particular, we look at the long-run effects of shocks to infrastructure on real output. We compute Long-Run Derivatives for kilowatts of electricity, kilometers of roads and phone lines, and find that shocks to infrastructure have positive and significant effects on real output for electricity and roads. These effects of infrastructure on output are in agreement with growth models where long-run growth is driven by en dogenous factors of production. Our results further indicate that for electricity and roads, infrastructure provision has not reached growth maximizing levels.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento económico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[infraestructura pública]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[derivada de largo plazo]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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