<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2448-6655</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Análisis económico]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Anál. econ.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2448-6655</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Unidad Azcapotzalco, División de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2448-66552024000200043</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2024v39n101/llamosas</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Efectos de choques no anticipados en el ingreso al consumo en México, 2000-2016]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Effects of unanticipated income shocks on consumption in Mexico, 2000-2016]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Llamosas-Rosas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Irving]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rangel González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Erick]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Banco de México Dirección General de Investigación Económica ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Banco de México Dirección General de Investigación Económica ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>39</volume>
<numero>101</numero>
<fpage>43</fpage>
<lpage>76</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2448-66552024000200043&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2448-66552024000200043&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2448-66552024000200043&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Se analiza el efecto de cambios no esperados del ingreso, tanto permanentes como transitorios, al consumo de los hogares mexicanos durante el periodo 2000 - 2016 siguiendo la metodología desarrollada por Blundell et al. (2008). En específico, se estima qué hipótesis es más acorde con la evidencia empírica en México: ingreso permanente, mercados completos, o aseguramiento parcial. Los resultados sugieren la presencia de aseguramiento parcial en el consumo ante choques permanentes en el ingreso a nivel nacional, aunque los resultados también son consistentes con la hipótesis de ingreso permanente. A nivel regional, los coeficientes del efecto del choque permanente en el ingreso sobre el consumo son similares al estimado a nivel nacional en las regiones norte, centro norte y centro, y de mayor magnitud en el sur, si bien con significancia estadística solo en las regiones centro norte y sur. En referencia a los choques temporales, el coeficiente del efecto del choque al ingreso sobre el consumo no resulta estadísticamente significativo a nivel nacional ni regional, lo que sugiere un suavizamiento del consumo por parte de los hogares ante cambios temporales en su ingreso.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The effect of unexpected changes in income, both permanent and transitory, on the consumption of Mexican households during the period 2000 - 2016 is analyzed following the methodology developed by Blundell et al. (2008). Specifically, it is estimated which hypothesis is more consistent with the empirical evidence in Mexico: permanent income, complete markets, or partial insurance. The results suggest the presence of partial insurance on consumption in the face of permanent income shocks at the national level, although results are also consistent with the permanent income hypothesis. At the regional level, the coefficients that measure the effect of an income permanent shock on consumption are similar to those estimated at the national level for the north, north central and central regions, and of greater magnitude in the south, although with statistical significance only in the central north and south regions. Regarding temporary shocks, the coefficient of the effect of income shocks on consumption is not statistically significant at the national or regional level, which suggests a consumption smoothing by households in the face of temporary changes in their income.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Impactos al consumo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Panel sintético]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Ingreso]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Impacts on consumption]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Synthetic panel]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Income]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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