<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-7467</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[RIDE. Revista Iberoamericana para la Investigación y el Desarrollo Educativo]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[RIDE. Rev. Iberoam. Investig. Desarro. Educ]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-7467</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro de Estudios e Investigaciones para el Desarrollo Docente A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-74672021000200129</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.23913/ride.v12i23.1039</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Estrategias para la seguridad hídrica ante los cambios de precipitación por efectos del cambio climático]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Strategies for water security in the face of changes in precipitation due to climate change effects]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Estratégias para a segurança da água em face das mudanças de precipitação devido aos efeitos das mudanças climáticas]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Suastegui Cruz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Sirilo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma de Guerrero  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>23</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-74672021000200129&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-74672021000200129&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-74672021000200129&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El cambio climático afecta negativamente los patrones de precipitación con breves periodos de lluvia que impactan en los ecosistemas a través de la sequía y producción de alimentos, lo que obstaculiza el suministro de agua en áreas marginadas como Las Ánimas, donde la clave de supervivencia se basa en la agricultura. Existen modelos globales de circulación como los MPI ECHAM 5 y HadGEN1 y escenarios A2 y B2 que permiten visualizar periodos de lluvias pasados y futuros para anticipar los cambios y generar estrategias desde ámbitos locales. En tal sentido, esta investigación fue de tipo cuantitativa, longitudinal-retrospectiva, no experimental y explicativa, donde se encontraron datos de la precipitación de los años 2015, 2016 y 2017 -como los puntos más críticos 2015 y 2016-, así como las variaciones para los años 2030 y 2050, que indican que la precipitación aumentará, pero con periodos más cortos, lo cual afectará la agricultura y generara problemas de seguridad hídrica y alimentaria en zonas rurales, donde es necesario recurrir a mecanismos de resiliencia comunitaria anual con mejoras en la captación, conservación y manejo del agua.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Climate change negatively affects precipitation patterns, with brief periods of rainfall impacting ecosystems through drought and food production, hindering water supply in marginalized areas such as Las Animas, where the key to survival is based on the Agriculture. There are global circulation models such as the MPI ECHAM 5 and HadGEN1 and scenarios A2 and B2 that allow visualizing past and future rainy periods to anticipate changes and be able to generate strategies from local areas. This research was quantitative, longitudinal-retrospective, non-experimental and explanatory, where precipitation data for the years 2015, 2016 and 2017 were found, as the most critical points (2015 and 2016), as well as the variations for 2030 and 2050 that indicate that precipitation will increase but with shorter periods, which will affect agriculture and generate water and food security problems in rural areas, where it is necessary to resort to annual community resilience mechanisms with improvements in catchment, conservation and water management.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo A mudança climática Afeta negativamente os padrões de precipitação, com breves períodos de chuva impactando os ecossistemas por meio da seca e da produção de alimentos, dificultando o abastecimento de água em áreas marginalizadas como Las Animas, onde a chave para a sobrevivência está baseada na agricultura. Existem modelos sistemas de circulação global como MPI ECHAM 5 e HadGEN1 e cenários A2 e B2 que permitem visualizar períodos de chuvas passados e futuros para antecipar mudanças e poder gerar estratégias a partir das áreas locais. Esta pesquisa foi quantitativa, longitudinal-retrospectiva, não experimental e explicativa, onde foram encontrados dados de precipitação para os anos de 2015, 2016 e 2017, como os pontos mais críticos (2015 e 2016), bem como as variações para 2030 e 2050 que indicam que a precipitação aumentará mas com períodos mais curtos, o que afetará a agricultura e gerará problemas de segurança hídrica e alimentar nas áreas rurais, onde é necessário recorrer a mecanismos anuais de resiliência da comunidade com melhorias na captação, conservação e gestão da água.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[escenarios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[estrategias]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[precipitación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[seguridad alimentaria]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[seguridad hidrica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[sequías]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[scenarios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[strategies]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[precipitation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[food security]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[water security]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[droughts]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[mudanças climáticas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[cenários]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[estratégias]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[modelos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[precipitação]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[segurança alimentar]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[segurança hídrica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[secas]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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