<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-4298</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Botanical Sciences]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Bot. sci]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-4298</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Sociedad Botánica de México A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-42982022000200291</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17129/botsci.2865</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Potential distribution of Croton guatemalensis: a model with reproductive biology data]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Distribución potencial de Croton guatemalensis: un modelo con datos de biología reproductiva]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pozo-Gómez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Dulce María]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Orantes-García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carolina]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sánchez-Cortés]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[María Silvia]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rioja-Paradela]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Tamara Mila]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aaf"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Carrillo-Reyes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Arturo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aaf"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Ciencias y Artes de Chiapas Instituto de Ciencias Biológicas ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ Chiapas]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Ciencias y Artes de Chiapas Instituto de Ciencias Biológicas ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Ciencias y Artes de Chiapas Facultad de Ingeniería ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ Chiapas]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af4">
<institution><![CDATA[,Oikos: Conservación y Desarrollo Sustentable AC  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[San Cristóbal de las Casas Chiapas]]></addr-line>
<country>México</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>100</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>291</fpage>
<lpage>299</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-42982022000200291&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-42982022000200291&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-42982022000200291&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract   Background: The inclusion of information on the phenology of any given species can significantly improve the resulting of potential distribution models. Scientific literature does not provide up-to-date information on the abiotic and biotic factors that determine the distribution of Croton guatemalensis, a species native to communities in south Mexico. For the first time, the potential distribution of C. guatemalensis was determined using a model which includes reproductive biology data.  Questions: Which bioclimatic and climatic variables most contribute to the distribution of C. guatemalensis? Does reproductive biology data contribute significantly to the prediction of the species distribution?  Studied species/Mathematical model: Croton guatemalensis/Maximum Entropy Modeling.  Study area and dates: Chiapas, Mexico, January - December 2020.  Methods: The MaxEnt 4.4.4 algorithm was used, incorporating 16 variables, including bioclimatic, climatic and elevation. In addition, a habitat suitability layer was built.  Results:  The model presented a precision of AUC = 0.964 ± 0.004. Eight variables contributed to explain 86.5 % of the potential distribution of the species. According to their contribution to the model, the most important were the seasonality of precipitation, habitat suitability, elevation and April solar radiation. The species was found in the physiographic regions Central America South Mountain Range Subprovince, Central Depression of Chiapas Discontinuity, and Altos de Chiapas Subprovince.  Conclusions:  The inclusion of reproductive biology data of C. guatemalensis contributed to improve the model. This information allows the development of more effective management and conservation plans by identifying the precise regions in which the species is found.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen   Antecedentes:  La inclusión de información sobre la fenología de las especies mejora significativamente el resultado de los modelos de distribución potencial. La literatura científica no brinda información actualizada sobre los factores abióticos y bióticos que determinan la distribución de Croton guatemalensis, especie nativa del sur de México. Por primera vez, se determina la distribución potencial de C. guatemalensis a partir de un modelo con datos de biología reproductiva.  Preguntas:  ¿Cuáles son las variables bioclimáticas y climáticas que más contribuyen a la distribución de C. guatemalensis? ¿Los datos de biología reproductiva contribuyen significativamente a la predicción de la distribución de la especie?  Área de estudio y fechas:  Chiapas, México, Agosto - Diciembre 2020.  Métodos:  Se utilizó el algoritmo MaxEnt 4.4.4, incorporando 16 variables, incluyendo bioclimáticas, climáticas y de elevación. Además se construyó una capa de idoneidad de hábitat.  Resultados:  El modelo presentó una precisión de AUC = 0.964 ± 0.005. Ocho variables contribuyeron a explicar el 86.5 % de la distribución potencial de la especie. De acuerdo a su contribución al modelo las más importantes fueron la estacionalidad de la precipitación, idoneidad del hábitat, elevación y radiación solar en abril. La especie se encontró en las regiones fisiográficas de Subprovincia Sierras del Sur de Centroamérica, Discontinuidad Depresión Central de Chiapas y Subprovincias Altos de Chiapas.  Conclusiones:  La inclusión de datos de biología reproductiva de C. guatemalensis contribuyó al modelo. Esta información permite desarrollar planes de manejo y conservación más efectivos al identificar las regiones en las que se encuentra la especie.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Habitat suitability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[MaxEnt 4.4.4]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[multipurpose species]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[phenology]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[physiology]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Especies multipropósito]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[fenología]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[fisiología]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Idoneidad del hábitat]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[MaxEnt 4.4.4]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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