<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-4018</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Chapingo serie ciencias forestales y del ambiente]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Chapingo ser. cienc. for. ambient]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-4018</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Chapingo, Coordinación de Revistas Institucionales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-40182016000200165</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5154/r.rchscfa.2015.08.034</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Probability of mortality by fire damage of young Pinus hartwegii Lindl. trees in the Izta-Popo National Park]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Probabilidad de mortalidad de arbolado joven de Pinus hartwegii Lindl. con afectaciones por fuego en el Parque Nacional Izta-Popo]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Robles-Gutiérrez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[César A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Velázquez-Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alejandro]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez-Trejo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Dante A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Reyes-Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Valentín J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Etchevers-Barra]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jorge D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados Campus Montecillo ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Texcoco Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma Chapingo División de Ciencias Forestales ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Texcoco Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>22</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>165</fpage>
<lpage>178</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-40182016000200165&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-40182016000200165&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-40182016000200165&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: Great efforts are carried out at a global level in order to determine the effect of fire on the mortality of tree species, like the Pinus genus. This paper evaluated the influence of fire on the probability of mortality of young Pinus hartwegii trees in the Izta-Popo National Park, a protected natural area in central Mexico. The effects of a medium to high intensity fire that occurred in March 2013, a low intensity prescribed burning applied in April of the same year, and a control area without recent fire presence were evaluated and compared. The results showed that after 18 months of the applied treatments, the tree mortality in the area with prescribed burning was 13 %, whereas tree mortality in the area with fire and in the control area was 28 and 4 %, respectively. Six logistic models were obtained in order to predict mortality; the percentage of damaged canopy, scar height, and normal bark diameter were the significant predictive variables (P &lt; 0.05). The results suggest that a decrease in the photosynthetic rate and nutrients,transport associated with damage to the canopy and cambium, are closely related to the probability of mortality.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: A nivel mundial se realizan grandes esfuerzos para determinar el efecto del fuego en la mortalidad de especies arbóreas como las del género Pinus. En este trabajo se evaluó la influencia del fuego en la probabilidad de mortalidad del arbolado joven de Pinus hartwegii en el Parque Nacional Izta-Popo, área natural protegida del centro de México. Los efectos de un incendio de mediana a alta intensidad ocurrido en marzo del 2013, una quema prescrita de baja intensidad realizada en abril del mismo año y un área testigo sin presencia de fuego reciente se valoraron y compararon. Los resultados mostraron que 18 meses después de aplicados los tratamientos, la mortalidad del arbolado en el área con quema prescrita fue de 13 %, mientras que en el área incendiada y testigo fue de 28 y 4 %, respectivamente. Se obtuvieron seis modelos logísticos para predecir la mortalidad; el porcentaje de copa dañada, la altura de cicatriz y el diámetro normal con corteza fueron las variables significativas (P &lt; 0.05) de predicción. Los resultados sugieren que la disminución en la capacidad fotosintética y en el transporte de nutrimentos, asociados al daño de la copa y al cámbium, están estrechamente ligados con la probabilidad de mortalidad.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Prescribed burning]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[conflagration]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[percentage of damaged canopy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[logistic model.]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Quema prescrita]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[incendio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[porcentaje de copa dañada]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo logístico.]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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