<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-0934</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista mexicana de ciencias agrícolas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Mex. Cienc. Agríc]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-0934</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-09342016001002645</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Evidencias del cambio climático en el estado de Tabasco durante el periodo 1961-2010]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Evidence of climate change in the state of Tabasco from 1961-2010]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rivera Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Benigno]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves Navarro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Lorenzo Armando]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Arrieta Rivera]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Agrícola]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Juárez López]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Francisco]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Méndez Adorno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jesús Manuel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramos Álvarez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carlos]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Popular de la Chontalpa Ingeniería en Agronomía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Cárdenas Tabasco]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Tecnológico de la Zona Olmeca  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ Tabasco]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>7</volume>
<numero>spe14</numero>
<fpage>2645</fpage>
<lpage>2656</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-09342016001002645&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-09342016001002645&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-09342016001002645&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Modelos ensamblados de Circulación General de la Atmósfera y Océano Acoplados (AOGCM&#8217;s) a nivel regional y para diferentes escenarios, indican que para finales del presente siglo, para Tabasco la temperatura puede incrementarse desde 1 a 3.8 ºC y la precipitación total anual puede reducirse hasta 14.4%. Eso es lo que modelos a escala regional reportan. Poco se ha investigado con datos observados, a nivel regional para comparar esos escenarios con lo que ha ocurrido en la realidad. El objetivo fue determinar si los datos meteorológicos durante el periodo de 1961 a 2010 registran alguna tendencia de cambio en la temperatura máxima, temperatura mínima, temperatura media y la precipitación y con ello determinar el sentido y magnitud del cambio a nivel regional y estatal. Los resultados que se muestran en las gráficas y cuadros del presente estudio indican que durante el periodo de tiempo estudiado, sí existe evidencia de cambio respecto al tiempo para las variables analizadas. Se encontró que las tendencias de cambio no son uniformes, sino contradictorias para las diferentes variables y localidades estudiadas. En unas localidades el cambio de una misma variable es positivo y en otros negativos. A nivel estatal, la temperatura media anual se ha incrementado 0.9 ºC durante el periodo estudiado, con fluctuaciones -0.6 ºC a 2.5 ºC entre regiones del estado. Asimismo, para el mismo periodo, se tuvo un incremento en la anomalía de la precipitación total promedio anual de 0.5% con fluctuaciones las regiones de -12.1% a 10.2%.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM's) at regional level and for different scenarios, indicate that by the end of this century, in Tabasco the temperature can increase from 1 to 3.8 °C and annual precipitation can decrease to 14.4%. That is what regional scale models report. Little has been investigated with observed data at regional level to compare these scenarios with what has happened in reality. The objective was to determine whether the meteorological data for the period of 1961-2010 recorded any trend of change in maximum, minimum, average temperature and precipitation and thus determine the direction and magnitude of change at regional and state level. The results shown in the graphs and tables in this study indicate that during the time period under study, there is evidence of change over time for the variables analyzed. It was found that change trends are not uniform, but contradictory for different variables and studied localities. In some localities the change of a single variable is positive and in others negative. Statewide, the average temperature has increased 0.9 °C over the period under study, with fluctuations -0.6 °C to 2.5 °C between state regions. Also, for the same period, there was an increase in the anomaly of the average annual total precipitation of 0.5% with fluctuations between regions of -12.1% to 10.2%.]]></p></abstract>
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<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático local]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Tabasco]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[local climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Tabasco]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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<given-names><![CDATA[D. M.]]></given-names>
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<surname><![CDATA[Stahle]]></surname>
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<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[1,200-year perspective of 21st century drought in southwestern NorthAmerica]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA.]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<volume>107</volume>
<page-range>21283-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
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</article>
