<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-0934</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista mexicana de ciencias agrícolas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Mex. Cienc. Agríc]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-0934</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-09342014001402007</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Aplicación del modelo EPIC para evaluar el efecto del cambio climático y prácticas de manejo sobre el rendimiento de grano en maíz de temporal]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Applying the model EPIC to assess the impact of climate change and management practices on grain yield in rainfed maize]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Flores López]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Hugo Ernesto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruíz Corral]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Ariel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mora Orozco]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Celia de la]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zarazúa-Villaseñor]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Patricia]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chávez Durán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Álvaro Agustín]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramírez Vega]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Humberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Velásquez Valle]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Miguel Agustín]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,INIFAP Campo Experimental Centro Altos de Jalisco ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Tepatitlán de Morelos Jalisco]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Guadalajara Departamento ProducciónAgrícola. Centro Universitario de Ciencias Biológicas y Agropecuarias ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,NIFAP  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Gómez Palacio Durango]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>5</volume>
<numero>spe10</numero>
<fpage>2007</fpage>
<lpage>2020</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001402007&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001402007&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001402007&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Se calibró y validó el modelo EPIC, para estudiar el efecto de prácticas de manejo y cambio climático sobre el rendimiento de grano de maíz de temporal para las regiones Altos-Sur y Ciénega de Jalisco. Se utilizó el escenario de cambio climático con el patrón de concentración representativa (PCR) de 2.6 W/m2, propuesto por el IPCC (2013). La calibración y validación de EPIC utilizó la información experimental con sistemas de cultivo de maíz de temporal obtenidos en el Campo Experimental Centro Altos de Jalisco (CECEAJAL) de INIFAP de 1985 a 2013. La información de clima procedió de la estación climática del La Barca de la CNA y la estación agroclimática de CECEAJAL. Los datos de suelo se obtuvieron de los perfiles de INIFAP, aunque para cada año y localidad se utilizó los resultados del análisis de suelos de la capa Ap. Se utilizó el generador climático del EPIC con los valores de las estadísticas básicas requeridas de las estaciones antes mencionadas. Se simulo el rendimiento de grano cada cinco años hasta alcanzar un periodo de 100 años, con el manejo de nueve sistemas de cultivo, tres para la región altos sur y seis para la región Ciénega. De esta última se incluyeron dos sistemas de labranza del suelo convencional y cuatro la incorporación de residuos de cosecha, con un alto contenido de materia orgánica. Los resultados mostraron que el rendimiento de grano con la práctica de manejo en la región Altos Sur de Jalisco de baja densidad de siembra colapsa después de 2075, mientras que el maíz con mayor densidad de siembra el rendimiento comienza a decaer en tiempo posterior. Para la región Ciénega el maíz con incorporación de residuos de cosecha tiene un rendimiento más estable, pero después de 2075 tiende a decaer el rendimiento.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: The model EPIC was calibrated and validated for studying the effect of management practices and climate change on the grain yield of rainfed maize for Altos-Sur and Cienega regions of Jalisco. The climate change scenario was used with the pattern of representative concentration (PCR) of 2.6 W/m2, proposed by the IPCC (2013). The calibration and validation of EPIC used the experimental data with maize rainfed cropping systems obtained in the Experimental CenterAltos de Jalisco (CECEAJAL) ofINIFAP from 1985 to 2013. The information came from the weather station La Barca ofthe CNAand the agroclimatic station CECEAJAL. The soil data were obtained from profiles INIFAP although for each year and location the results of soil analysis in the Ap layer was used. Climate generator EPIC was used with the values of the basic statistics required of the above stations. Grain yield was simulated every five years up to a period of100 years, managing nine cropping systems, three for the Altos-Sur region and six for the region, Cienega. Of the latter, two tillage systems and four conventional soil incorporation of crop residues were included, with a high content oforganic matter. The results showed that, the grain yield management practice in the Altos-Sur of Jalisco with low planting density region collapses after 2075, while in the high density the yield begins to decline at a later time. For the region Cienega the maize crop residue incorporation has a more stable yield, but after 2075 tends to fade as well.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[maíz]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[prácticas de manejo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[maize]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[management practices]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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