<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-0934</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista mexicana de ciencias agrícolas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Mex. Cienc. Agríc]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-0934</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-09342014001401993</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Impacto del cambio climático en las tendencias de la evaporación en la presa La Vega, Teuchitlán, Jalisco, México]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Climate change impact on the evaporation trends in the dam La Vega, Teuchitlán, Jalisco, Mexico]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mora Orozco]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Celia De La]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Flores López]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Hugo Ernesto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruíz Corral]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Ariel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chávez Durán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Álvaro Agustín]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Figueroa Montaño]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Arturo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias Campo Experimental Centro Altos de Jalisco ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Tepatitlán de Morelos Jalisco]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Guadalajara Centro Universitario de Ciencias Exactas e Ingenierías ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Guadalajara Jalisco]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>5</volume>
<numero>spe10</numero>
<fpage>1993</fpage>
<lpage>2005</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001401993&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001401993&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001401993&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: El impacto del cambio climático sobre los recursos hídricos se predice como un problema potencial, reduciendo la cantidad de agua para la agricultura, la industria y el uso doméstico. Una serie de estudios se están llevando a cabo para entender mejor este problema. En ésta investigación cinco décadas de datos meteorológicos (1961-2009) fueron analizados para evaluar el efecto del cambio climático en las tendencias de la evaporación en la presa La Vega. Se utilizó la estadística de Mann-Kendall para identificar la tendencia de las variables meteorológicas; temperatura máxima, temperatura mínima, precipitación y evaporación, así como la evaporación potencial de la presa La Vega. Los resultados mostraron que el periodo 1961-1969 sólo la evaporación del reservorio presentó tendencia significativa al incremento con un valor de S de 24 y un coeficiente de correlación de 0.7015. El periodo de 1970-1979 presentó tendencias positivas y negativas, para la temperatura máxima el valor S correspondió a 24, con un coeficiente de correlación de 0.4613, lo cual representa tendencia significativa al incremento. La evaporación en este periodo presentó tendencia negativa con un valor S de -25, con coeficiente de correlación de 0.4877 y tendencia significativa a disminuir. En el periodo de 1980-1989 la precipitación mostró tendencia negativa con valor de S de -27 y coeficiente de correlación de 0.5324 con tendencia significativa a disminuir. Los periodos 1990-1999 y 2000-2009, mostraron tendencias similares para el caso de temperatura máxima y evaporación del reservorio. Para 1990-1999 la temperatura máxima presentó tendencia positiva con valor de S de 25, coeficiente de correlación de 0.5447 y tendencia significativa al incremento. Para el mismo periodo la evaporación del reservorio también presentó tendencia positiva con valor S de 29, coeficiente de correlación de 0.6404 y tendencia significativa al incremento. En el periodo de 2000 2009 la temperatura máxima presentó un valor S de 24 con coeficiente de correlación de 0.6684 y tendencia significativa al incremento. La evaporación del reservorio presentó la misma tendencia con valor S de 25, coeficiente de correlación de 0.5911 y tendencia significativa al incremento. Se concluye que los periodos comprendidos entre 1961-1989 no mostraron tendencias notables en las variables meteorológicas, por el contrario el periodo comprendido entre 1990-2009 presentó tendencias claras al incremento para el caso de la temperatura máxima y la evaporación del reservorio. Sin embargo es un comportamiento esperado debido a que la evaporación de un cuerpo de agua depende en gran medida de la temperatura en el ambiente, así como otras variables ambientales y físicas propias de un cuerpo de agua superficial. Sin embargo, de acuerdo con los resultados obtenidos el incremento de la temperatura puede afectar de manera negativa la pérdida por evaporación en la presa La Vega.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: Climate change impact on water resources is predicted as a potential problem, reducing the amount of water for agriculture, the industry and domestic use as well. A number of studies are underway to better understand this problem. In this research, five decades of meteorological data (1961-2009) were analysed to assess the effect of climate change on evaporation trends in the dam La Vega. The Mann-Kendall statistic was used to identify the trend of the meteorological variables; maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation and evaporation as well as the potential evaporation of the dam La Vega. The results showed that during the period 1961-1969, only the evaporation showed significant upward with a value of S of 24 and a correlation coefficient of 0.7015. The period 1970-1979 showed positive and negative trends, for the maximum temperature the S value corresponded to 24, with a correlation coefficient of 0.4613, which represents a significant upward trend. Evaporation in this period had a negative trend with an S value of -25, with a correlation coefficient of0.4877, and a significant trend for decreasing. In the period of 1980-1989, the precipitation showed a negative trend with S value of -27 and correlation coefficient of 0.5324 with a significant decreasing trend. The periods 1990-1999 and 2000-2009, showed similar trends for maximum temperature and evaporation of the reservoir. For 1990-1999, the maximum temperature showed a positive trend with S value of 25, and a correlation coefficient of0.5447 and a significant upward trend. For the same period, the reservoir evaporation also showed a positive trend with S value of 29, correlation coefficient of0.6404 and significant upward trend. In the period 2000-2009, the maximum temperature presented an S value of 24 with correlation coefficient of0.6684 and significant upward trend. The evaporation ofthe reservoir had the same tendency with S value of 25, coefficient of correlation of 0.5911 and significant upward trend. We concluded that, the periods between 1961-1989 showed no significant trends in meteorological variables, on the contrary, the period 1990-2009 presented clear trends for the increasing maximum temperature and the evaporation ofthe reservoir. However, it is an expected behaviour due to the evaporation of a body of water depends largely on the ambient temperature and other environmental variables and characteristics of a natural water body. However, according to the results, the increased temperature might adversely affect evaporation loss in the dam La Vega.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[evaporación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[presa La Vega]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[dam La Vega]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[evaporation]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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