<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1870-3550</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Norteamérica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Norteamérica]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1870-3550</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Centro de Investigaciones sobre América del Norte]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1870-35502021000200375</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22201/cisan.24487228e.2021.2.478</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Determinants of U.S.-Mexico Trade Under the USMCA]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Determinantes del comercio entre Estados Unidos y México bajo el T-MEC]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mendoza Cota]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jorge Eduardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,El Colegio de la Frontera Norte Departamento de Estudios Económicos ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>16</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>375</fpage>
<lpage>402</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1870-35502021000200375&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1870-35502021000200375&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1870-35502021000200375&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will impose a restructuring of North American supply chains to meet the new input content requirements. To evaluate the determinants of U.S.-Mexico trade under the new agreement, the author creates an econometric model, and the estimations indicate that the distance from U.S. states to the Mexican border and the size of the economies of the states of Mexico are factors that impact trade between the two countries. Tariffs applied under the USMCA have had a minor but positive impact. Foreign direct investment showed positive effects on trade, indicating the existence of value chains between the U.S. and Mexico. The results suggest that polices to encourage trade between the two countries would require the development of transportation infrastructure, as well as the promotion of investment in strategic sectors to further develop regional supply chains.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El Tratado México-Estados Unidos-Canadá (T-MEC) impondrá una reestructuración de las cadenas de suministro de América del Norte para cumplir con los nuevos requisitos de contenido de insumos. Para evaluar los determinantes del comercio entre Estados Unidos y México bajo el nuevo acuerdo, se estima un modelo econométrico. Las previsiones indican que la distancia entre los estados de Estados Unidos y la frontera con México, así como el tamaño de las economías de los estados de México son factores que impactan el comercio entre los dos países. Los aranceles aplicados bajo el T-MEC han tenido un impacto menor pero positivo. La inversión extranjera directa (IED) mostró efectos positivos en el comercio, lo que indica la existencia de cadenas de valor entre Estados Unidos y México. Los resultados sugieren que las políticas para fomentar el comercio entre los dos países requerirían el desarrollo de infraestructura de transporte, así como la promoción de inversiones en sectores estratégicos para desarrollar aún más las cadenas de suministro regionales.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[trade]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[NAFTA]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[USMCA]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mexico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[panel models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[comercio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[TLCAN]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[T-MEC]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[México]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelos de panel]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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