<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1870-3453</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista mexicana de biodiversidad]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Mex. Biodiv.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1870-3453</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto de Biología]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1870-34532008000200030</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Parsimony analysis of endemism (PAE) and studies of Mexican biogeography]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[PAE y el estudio de la biogeografía de México]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Townsend Peterson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,The University of Kansas Biodiversity Research Center ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Lawrence Kansas]]></addr-line>
<country>USA</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2008</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2008</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>79</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>541</fpage>
<lpage>542</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1870-34532008000200030&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1870-34532008000200030&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1870-34532008000200030&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Parsimony analysis of endemism (PAE) has become a popular analytical approach in efforts to map the biogeography of Mexican biotas. Although attractive, the technique has serious drawbacks that make correct inferences of biogeographic history unlikely, which has been noted amply in the broader literature.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[El PAE se ha convertido en un método popular en los esfuerzos por resumir, en forma de mapas, la biogeografía de la biota de México. A pesar de su atractivo, la técnica tiene problemas serios que impiden que las conclusiones resultantes sean las correctas. Estos problemas se han hecho ampliamente evidentes en la literatura sobre este campo.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[parsimony analysis of endemism]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[biogeography]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[area history]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[PAE]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[biogeografía]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[historia de áreas]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[  				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="4">Puntos de vista </font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="4"><b>Parsimony analysis of endemism (PAE) and studies of Mexican biogeography</b></font></p> 				    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="3"><b>PAE y el estudio de la biogeograf&iacute;a de M&eacute;xico</b></font></p> 				    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>A. Townsend Peterson</b></font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><i>Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas 66045 USA.    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<br> 			    </i></font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>Correspondent:</b> <a href="mailto:town@ku.edu" target="_blank">    <br> 			    town@ku.edu</a></font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Recibido: 12 febrero 2008    <br> 			    Aceptado: 16 mayo 2008</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>Abstract</b></font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Parsimony analysis of endemism (PAE) has become a popular analytical approach in efforts to map the biogeography of Mexican biotas. Although attractive, the technique has serious drawbacks that make correct inferences of biogeographic history unlikely, which has been noted amply in the broader literature.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>Key words:</b> parsimony analysis of endemism, biogeography, area history.</font></p> 				    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>Resumen</b></font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">El PAE se ha convertido en un m&eacute;todo popular en los esfuerzos por resumir, en forma de mapas, la biogeograf&iacute;a de la biota de M&eacute;xico. A pesar de su atractivo, la t&eacute;cnica tiene problemas serios que impiden que las conclusiones resultantes sean las correctas. Estos problemas se han hecho ampliamente evidentes en la literatura sobre este campo.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>Palabras claves:</b> PAE, biogeograf&iacute;a, historia de &aacute;reas.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Mexico has long been known as a fascinating biogeographic arena, with its complex interplay of Nearctic and Neotropical, montane and lowland, and humid and arid, and as such has drawn the attention of many biogeographers (Ramamoorthy et al., 1993). Over the past few decades, however, Mexico's scientific activity has earned the country appreciation as a region of intense activity in the study of biogeography as well, with intense activity in studies of theory, phylogeny, phylogeography, distribution, and endemism (Halffter, 1987; S&aacute;nchez&#150;Cordero, 2001; P&eacute;rez&#150;Ponce de Le&oacute;n and Choudhury, 2005). A recent fashion, however, has been the development of numerous studies based on the technique termed Parsimony Analysis of Endemism (PAE), which is the focus of this commentary.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">PAE is based on admirable goals, to reconstruct area history based on patterns of shared endemic species (Rosen, 1992), without the need for detailed phylogenetic studies of individual lineages. Although the original version of PAE was intended to cross temporal samples, detecting appearance of new species in stratified samples through time (Nihei, 2006), this more static version bases inferences on a matrix of species X sites, and uses cladistic analyses to link areas on the basis of shared endemic species, which are ostensibly analogous to shared derived characters in a phylogenetic analysis. A considerable number of studies of Mexican biogeography using PAE has now accumulated (Morrone and Escalante, 2002; Escalante et al., 2003; Rojas&#150;Soto et al., 2003; Escalante et al., 2005).</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">PAE, however, has now seen numerous, serious, profound criticisms in the broader biogeography literature (Brooks and van Veller, 2003; Santos, 2005; Nihei, 2006; Santos and Amorim, 2007), which should be taken into consideration by Mexican biogeographers prior to choosing PAE as the method of choice for a particular study. In particular, PAE falls short for reasons including the following:</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">1. <i>Rooting PAE trees to an all&#150;zero ancestor</i>. The practice of rooting the PAE areas tree to a hypothetical ancestor that has all species set to zero (= absent in all areas) requires the implicit assumption that the only relevant processes are of vicariance, and that dispersal plays no role in assembling communities.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">2. Non&#150;<i>endemism is required for insight</i>. In a perfectly vicariant world, each area would have its own species in each lineage that has spread across the landscape of interest. This situation would create PAE character&#150;state matrices in which each species is autapomorphic for each area, which will prove uninformative in cladistic analyses, and no hypotheses of area relationships will result. As such, PAE is not so much analysis of <i>endemism</i> as much as analysis of non&#150;endemism, if areas are to be linked successfully using the PAE approach.</font></p> 				    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">3. <i>PAE may group areas based on shared absence or shared dispersal</i>. Because the PAE approach focuses so absolutely on vicariance, any dispersal that is at all nonrandom or directed in any way may produce apparent patterns of shared "derived" species that will be misleading regarding true historical signal. That is, any dispersal corridor, consistent wind or ocean current, or even chance events, that might concentrate dispersal events in certain areas can mislead PAE analyses. PAE groupings can also result from shared absences, and the meaning of a shared non&#150;presence of an endemic species for history of areas is not at all clear.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">4. <i>Not applicable to artificially delimited areas</i>. PAE is applicable only to closed systems, to which the lineages under analysis should be endemic. Otherwise, some species may occur in areas outside of the area of analysis, but these relationships will not be apparent in the results, as those other areas are excluded from consideration.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">The rush to apply PAE to each system of interest in Mexican biogeography has led to some high points and some low points. On the positive side, a few careful analyses have offered useful and valuable insights into PAE and its application (Rojas&#150;Soto et al., 2003); these studies will be useful if and when PAE is to be used in biogeographic studies. The negative side, however, is more worrisome: applications to "Mexican" areas only (Morrone and Escalante, 2002) leave out potentially related areas in neighboring regions. Other recent studies, not published, to my knowledge, have even attempted to apply PAE to presences and absences of <i>all</i> taxa, not even limiting analysis to resident species, much less to endemic taxa (pers. observ.)! PAE has become so very popular in Mexican biogeography, I believe, simply because it is so easy to apply, and not because it is the best or even an <i>appropriate</i> tool for the job. The long and the short of the situation is that most PAE applications, and particularly those applied to Mexican biotas, have been based on poor assumptions and have used a tool that is unlikely to yield deep insights into biogeography; as such, Mexican biogeographers should think twice before using this approach.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">More broadly, and in conclusion, PAE falls short owing in largest part to its absolute focus on vicariance. Dispersal also exists, and is a major structuring force in biogeographic processes, like it or not. Otherwise, species' ranges would only subdivide further and further through time, and biological diversification would only produce more and more micro&#150;scale endemism. In reality, although vicariance is perhaps the most common mechanism of speciation (Barraclough and Vogler, 2000), dispersal acts frequently to ratchet up range sizes, and offer vicariance a broader field of geographic phenomena with which to generate more biological diversity. PAE denies these mechanisms in its reconstructions, and its reconstructions are thereby unreliable and quite suspect.</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 				    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>Literature cited</b></font></p> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Barraclough, T. G. and A. P. Vogler. 2000. Detecting the geographical pattern of speciation from species&#150;level phylogenies. American Naturalist 155:419&#150;434.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492474&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000001&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Brooks, D. R. and M. G. P. van Veller. 2003. Critique of parsimony analysis of endemicity as a method of historical biogeography. Journal of Biogeography 30:819&#150;825.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492476&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000002&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Escalante, T., D. Espinosa and J. J. Morrone. 2003. Using parsimony analysis of endemicity to analyze the distribution of Mexican land mammals. Southwestern Naturalist 48:563&#150;578.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492478&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000003&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Escalante, T., G. Rodr&iacute;guez and J. J. Morrone. 2005. Las provincias biogeogr&aacute;ficas del Componente Mexicano de Monta&ntilde;a desde la perspectiva de los mam&iacute;feros continentales. Revista Mexicana de la Biodiversidad 76:199&#150;205.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492480&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000004&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Halffter, G. 1987. Biogeography of the montane entomofauna of Mexico and Central America. Annual Review of Entomology 32:95&#150;114.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492482&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000005&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Morrone, J. J. and T. Escalante. 2002. Parsimony analysis of endemicity (PAE) of Mexican terrestrial mammals at different area units: When size matters. Journal of Biogeography 29:1095&#150;1104.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492484&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000006&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Nihei, S. S. 2006. Misconceptions about parsimony analysis of endemicity. Journal of Biogeography 33:2099&#150;2106.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492486&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000007&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">P&eacute;rez&#150;Ponce de Le&oacute;n, G. and A. Choudhury. 2005. Biogeography of helminth parasites of freshwater fishes in Mexico: The search for patterns and processes. Journal of Biogeography 32:645&#150;659.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492488&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000008&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Ramamoorthy, T. P., R. Bye, A. Lot and J. Fa, editors. 1993. Biological diversity of Mexico: origins and distribution. Oxford University Press, Oxford. 812 p.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492490&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000009&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Rojas&#150;Soto, O. R., O. Alcantara&#150;Ayala and A. G. Navarro. 2003. Regionalization of the avifauna of the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: A parsimony analysis of endemicity and distributional modelling approach. Journal of Biogeography 30:449&#150;461.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492492&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000010&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">Rosen, B. R. 1992. Empiricism and the biogeographical black box: Concepts and methods in marine palaeobiogeography. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 92:171&#150;205.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492494&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000011&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">S&aacute;nchez&#150;Cordero, V. 2001. Elevational gradients of diversity for rodents and bats in Oaxaca, Mexico. Global Ecology and Biogeography 10:63&#150;76.</font>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=7492496&pid=S1870-3453200800020003000012&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> 				    ]]></body>
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