<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1665-6423</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Journal of applied research and technology]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[J. appl. res. technol]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1665-6423</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Ciencias Aplicadas y Tecnología]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1665-64232014000500016</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Flood Risk Assessment in Humanitarian Logistics Process Design]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Díaz-Delgado]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gaytán Iniestra]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A02"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México Facultad de Ingeniería Centro Interamericano de Recursos del Agua]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Toluca Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>México</country>
</aff>
<aff id="A02">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México Facultad de Ingeniería ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Toluca Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>México</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>5</numero>
<fpage>976</fpage>
<lpage>984</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1665-64232014000500016&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1665-64232014000500016&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1665-64232014000500016&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[This article deals with the relationship between a flood risk assessment and the humanitarian logistics process design related to emergency events caused by flooding. The magnitude and timing of the flooding is estimated using a forecasting model that requires a hydrologic component to convert rainfall into runoff as well as a hydraulic component to route the flow through the stream network predicting time and severity of the flood wave. Once these components are known, and with the intention of mitigating the impact of the flood wave on the population, we provide the relevant aspects to define humanitarian aid and evacuation plans including processes and metrics of it. Finally, an example that integrates both methodologies is included. Keywords: flood early warning system, humanitarian logistics, flood risk assessment, evacuation plan]]></p></abstract>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[  	    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="4"><b>Flood Risk Assessment in Humanitarian Logistics Process Design</b></font></p> 	    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="4">&nbsp;</font></p> 	    <p align="center"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b>C. D&iacute;az&#45;Delgado*<sup>1</sup> and J. Gayt&aacute;n Iniestra<sup>2</sup></b></font></p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><i><sup>1</sup> Centro Interamericano de Recursos del Agua (CIRA) Facultad de Ingenier&iacute;a Universidad Aut&oacute;noma del Estado de M&eacute;xico Cerro de Coatepec, Ciudad Universitaria s/n, Toluca, C.P. 50110 Estado de M&eacute;xico, M&eacute;xico.</i> *<a href="mailto:cdiazd@uaemex.mx">cdiazd@uaemex.mx</a> </font></p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><i><sup>2</sup> Facultad de Ingenier&iacute;a Universidad Aut&oacute;noma del Estado de M&eacute;xico Cerro de Coatepec, Ciudad Universitaria s/n, Toluca, C.P. 50100 Estado de M&eacute;xico, M&eacute;xico.</i></font></p>     <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&nbsp;</font></p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> <b>Abstract</b></font></p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">This article deals with the relationship between a flood risk assessment and the humanitarian logistics process design related to emergency events caused by flooding. The magnitude and timing of the flooding is estimated using a forecasting model that requires a hydrologic component to convert rainfall into runoff as well as a hydraulic component to route the flow through the stream network predicting time and severity of the flood wave. Once these components are known, and with the intention of mitigating the impact of the flood wave on the population, we provide the relevant aspects to define humanitarian aid and evacuation plans including processes and metrics of it. Finally, an example that integrates both methodologies is included. Keywords: flood early warning system, humanitarian logistics, flood risk assessment, evacuation plan. </font></p> 	    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="justify">&nbsp;</p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><a href="/pdf/jart/v12n5/v12n5a16.pdf" target="_blank"> DESCARGAR ART&Iacute;CULO EN FORMATO PDF</a></font></p> 	    <p align="justify">&nbsp;</p> 	    <p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"><b><i>References</i></b></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;1&#93; M.S. Sodhi and C.S. Tang, "Buttressing supply chains against floods in Asia for humanitarian relief and economic recovery," <a href="http://www.cassknowledge.com/sites/default/files/article-attachments/supply-chains-floods-asia-relief-cass-knowledge-upd.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.cassknowledge.com/sites/default/files/article&#45;attachments/supply&#45;chains&#45;floods&#45;asia&#45;relief&#45;cass&#45;knowledge&#45;upd.pdf</a> (retrieved September 12th 2013).    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850463&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600001&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&#91;2&#93; EM&#45;Dat, "The OFDA/CREDT International Disaster Database," <a href="http://www.emdat.be/" target="_blank">http://www.emdat.be/</a>. Retrived September 10 2013.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850465&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600002&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;3&#93; T. Palmer and J. Ra&#239;s&#228;nen, "Quantifying the risk of extreme seasonal precipitation events in a changing climate," Nature Publishing Group, New York, pp. 512&#45;514. 2002.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850467&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600003&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> </font></p> 	    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&#91;4&#93; E. Gonzalez, C. Diaz&#45;Delgado, V.H. Guerra, M.A. Gutierrez and N.M Ramos, "The importance of floods in the Integrated Water Resources Management in Mexico, " (La importancia de las inundaciones en la gesti&oacute;n integrada de los recursos h&iacute;dricos en M&eacute;xico, in spanish), pp. 92&#45;176.Universidad Aut&oacute;noma de Quer&eacute;taro, 2012.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850469&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600004&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;5&#93; Bitr&aacute;n, "Socio&#45;economical characteristics of impacts of the main disasters occurred in Mexico for the perid 1980 &#45; 1999," (Caracter&iacute;sticas del impacto socioecon&oacute;mico de los principales desastres ocurridos en M&eacute;xico en el per&iacute;odo 1980&#45;199, in spanish), Centro Nacional de Prevenci&oacute;n de Desastres (CENAPRED), M&eacute;xico. 2001.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850471&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600005&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> </font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&#91;6&#93; AON benfield, "Global catastrophe recap 2013, impact forecasting", <a href="http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/20140107_if_december_global_recap.pdf" target="_blank">http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/20140107_if_december_global_recap.pdf</a>, (retrived January 22th 2013.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850473&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600006&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref -->). </font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&#91;7&#93; NASA&#45;National Aeronautics and Space Administration (USA), "Satellite image showing Tropical Storm Manuel and Hurricane Ingrid simultaneously affecting Mexico", <a href="http://www.weathercast.co.uk/weathernews/news/ch/841689901323acfc53cf8a289b30e110/article/mexico_hit_by_tropical_storms.html" target="_blank">http://www.weathercast.co.uk/weathernews/news/ch/841689901323acfc53cf8a289b30e110/article/mexico_hit_by_tropical_storms.html</a>, (retrived January 23th 2013).    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850475&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600007&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;8&#93; GnbH (GTZ), "Local flood early warning systems. Manual: Experiences from the Philippines," Tacloban City, October. pp. 1&#45;100. 2009.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850477&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600008&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&#91;9&#93; C. Diaz&#45;Delgado, M.A. G&oacute;mez&#45;Albores and J.A. Hern&aacute;ndez&#45;P&eacute;rez, "Hydrological/hydraulic flood modelling with direct tangible damage estimation" (Modelado hidrol&oacute;gico&#45;hidr&aacute;ulico de inundaciones con estimaci&oacute;n de da&ntilde;os directos tangibles, in spanish). &#91;XXII Congreso Nacional de Hidr&aacute;ulica, noviembre 2012&#93;, Acapulco, Guerrero, Mexico, 2012.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850479&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600009&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;10&#93; S. Eluch, S., A. Carsteanu, K.M. B&#226;, R. Magagi, K. Go&#239;tia and C. D&iacute;az&#45;Delgado, "Validation and use of rainfall data to simulate water flows in the rio Escondido basin," Sctochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Journal, Vol 24, num. 5, 2009 pp 559&#45;565.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850481&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600010&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;11&#93; A. Thomas and L.R. Kopczak, "From logistics to supply chain management: the path forward in humanitarian sector," white paper, Fritz Institute, San Francisco,&nbsp;C.A., 2005, <a href="http://www.fritzinstitute.org/pdfs/whitepaper/fromlogisticsto.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.fritzinstitute.org/pdfs/whitepaper/fromlogisticsto.pdf</a> retirved September 5 2013. Retrieved on September 1st 2013.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850483&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600011&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2"> &#91;12&#93; B. Beamon and B. Balcik, "Performance measurement in humanitarian relief chains". International Journal of Public Sector Management. Vol. 21 No. 1, pp. 4&#45;25. 2008.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850485&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600012&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --> </font></p> 	    <!-- ref --><p align="justify"><font face="verdana" size="2">&#91;13&#93; A. Cozzolino, S. Rossi and A. Conforti, "Agile and lean principles in the humanitarian supply chain. The case of the United Nations world food programme," Journal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Cahin Management, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 16&#45;33. 2012.    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[&#160;<a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="javascript: window.open('/scielo.php?script=sci_nlinks&ref=4850487&pid=S1665-6423201400050001600013&lng=','','width=640,height=500,resizable=yes,scrollbars=1,menubar=yes,');">Links</a>&#160;]<!-- end-ref --></font></p> 	    ]]></body>
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