<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1665-5346</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista mexicana de economía y finanzas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. mex. econ. finanz]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1665-5346</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1665-53462022000200006</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21919/remef.v17i2.663</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Informalidad, pobreza y consumo en México: Evidencia empírica entre 1993 y 2019]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Informality, Poverty and Consumption in Mexico: Empirical Evidence between 1993 and 2019]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gálvez-Soriano]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Oscar de Jesús]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramírez-Loyola]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Miguel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vega Valdivia]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Dixia]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of Houston  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>USA</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma Chapingo  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1665-53462022000200006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1665-53462022000200006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1665-53462022000200006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen En este documento exploramos la relación entre informalidad, pobreza y &#8220;consumo predecible&#8221; en México. Partimos de un modelo macroeconómico con dos tipos de agentes para recuperar la serie de consumo predecible, que representa a los individuos que gastan todo su ingreso en cada periodo de tiempo. Estimamos el consumo predecible con un método de variables instrumentales para resolver el problema de simultaneidad entre consumo e ingreso. Utilizando esta serie, probamos la hipótesis de que los individuos con consumo predecible son personas en situación de pobreza o que trabajan en la informalidad. Nuestros resultados sugieren que algunas de las variaciones en el consumo predecible se deben a cambios en la pobreza. Este documento es el primero en analizar la heterogeneidad del consumo en México, mapeando su comportamiento con dos tipos de consumidores, de donde se concluye que una parte considerable del consumo privado (casi el 40%) es consistente con la hipótesis del ingreso permanente. Además, este artículo es el primero en documentar formalmente la fuerte relación entre pobreza e informalidad en México, lo que tiene importantes implicaciones de política económica.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract In this document we explore the relationship between informality, poverty and &#8220;predictable consumption&#8221; in Mexico. We start from a macroeconomic model with two types of agents to recover the predictable consumption series, which represents the individuals who spend all their income in each period. We estimate predictable consumption with an instrumental variables method to solve the problem of simultaneity between consumption and income. Using this series, we test the hypothesis that individuals with predictable consumption are people living in poverty or working in the informality. Our results suggest that some of the variations in predictable consumption are due to changes in poverty. This document is the first to analyze the heterogeneity of consumption in Mexico, mapping out its behavior with two types of consumers, from which it is concluded that a considerable part of private consumption (almost 40%) is consistent with the permanent income hypothesis. Furthermore, this article is the first to formally document the strong relationship between poverty and informality in Mexico, which has important economic policy implications.]]></p></abstract>
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<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[E27]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[I32]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Variables instrumentales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Sector Informal]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Consumo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Pobreza]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[C36]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[E26]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[E27]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[I32]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Instrumental Variables]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Informal economy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Consumption]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Poverty]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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