<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1665-2037</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Política y gobierno]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Polít. gob]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1665-2037</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas A.C., División de Estudios Políticos]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1665-20372018000100065</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Voto étnico en Bolivia. Cohesión, disgregación y clivajes étnicos]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Ethnic Vote in Bolivia: Cohesion, Disintegration and Ethnic Cleavages]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Prudencio]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Guillermo Guzmán]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez-López]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Fernando]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Salamanca Facultad de Derecho Departamento de Economía Aplicada]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Spain</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Salamanca Facultad de Derecho Departamento de Economía Aplicada]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Spain</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>25</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>65</fpage>
<lpage>100</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1665-20372018000100065&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1665-20372018000100065&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1665-20372018000100065&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Proponemos una construcción teórica como base para analizar cuantitativamente los mecanismos que pueden haber dado lugar al surgimiento del voto étnico en Bolivia. En la primera parte se desarrolla una breve introducción sobre aspectos políticos e históricos de los cambios sucedidos en el país en los últimos años, y que dieron como resultado la llegada del mas y de Evo Morales a la presidencia. En la segunda parte se estructura un planteamiento teórico y se contrasta mediante la técnica logit multinomial sobre datos de encuestas referidas a las últimas cuatro elecciones presidenciales. La hipótesis principal parte de las estructuras étnicas y plantea el discurso político como elemento cohesionador ante la acción de variables disgregadoras de lo étnico, determinante para la aparición de clivajes étnicos políticamente relevantes y la consiguiente aparición del voto étnico.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract We propose a theoretical framework to analyze from a quantitative point of view the devices that may have led to the emergence of ethnic voting in Bolivia. The first part provides a review of political and historical changes in recent years, which resulted in mas and Evo Morales assuming the presidency. The second part presents the theoretical construct and then tests it through the estimation of a multinomial logit model on data from surveys referred to the latest four presidential elections. The main hypothesis is built from the basis of ethnic structure, and presents political discourse as a cohesive element against the action of ethnic-disruptive variables, therefore decisive for the emergence of relevant ethnic cleavages and the subsequent appearance of ethnic vote.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Bolivia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[voto étnico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[clivajes étnicos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[indigenismo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Bolivia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[ethnic vote]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[ethnic cleavages]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[indigenism]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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