<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1405-7743</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Ingeniería, investigación y tecnología]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Ing. invest. y tecnol.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1405-7743</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Ingeniería]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1405-77432019000400009</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22201/fi.25940732e.2019.20n4.045</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[The non-fossil/fossil fuel mexican energy investment policy case: An alternative system dynamics goal seeking planning model]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Política mexicana de inversión en energía no fósil/fósil: un modelo alternativo de planeación, buscador de objetivos, de dinámica de sistemas]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Domenge-Muñoz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Rogerio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México Centro ITAM Energía y Recursos Naturales ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>20</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1405-77432019000400009&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1405-77432019000400009&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1405-77432019000400009&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract There are increasing concerns in México regarding CO2 emissions, due to the use of fossil fuel based electric generation. Recently, several laws have been passed with the objective of increase the non-fossil participation in the energy portfolio mix. Although several objectives have been established, these would be hard to achieve if investments should continue to be directed mainly to fossil fuel technologies. This article presents a system dynamics decision support model, as an alternative method to the traditional modelling approaches. The model is used to assess the generation capacity requirements and to evaluate them in several simulated scenarios.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Existen crecientes preocupaciones en México respecto a las emisiones de CO2, debido a la utilización de combustibles fósiles en la generación de electricidad. Recientemente se han autorizado varias leyes con la finalidad de incrementar la participación de combustibles no fósiles en la mezcla energética. A pesar de que se han establecido algunos objetivos, estos serán difíciles de lograr si las inversiones continúan siendo dirigidas principalmente a las tecnologías fósiles. Este artículo presenta un modelo de apoyo a la toma de decisiones, basado en el enfoque de dinámica de sistemas, como un método alternativo a las técnicas de modelaje tradicionales. El modelo es utilizado para identificar los requerimientos futuros de capacidad de generación, así como para evaluarlos en diversos escenarios simulados.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Non-fossil electricity generation capacity expansion]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mexico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[scenario simulation model]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[system dynamics]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Expansión de la capacidad no fósil de generación de electricidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[México]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo de simulación de escenarios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[dinámica de sistemas]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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