<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1405-3195</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Agrociencia]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Agrociencia]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1405-3195</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Colegio de Postgraduados]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1405-31952017000500581</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Modelando riesgo de ingreso: un enfoque de cópulas]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Income risk modeling: a copula approach]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez-Damián]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Miguel Á.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brambila-Paz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José de J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[González-Estrada]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Elizabeth]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Montecillo Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>51</volume>
<numero>5</numero>
<fpage>581</fpage>
<lpage>590</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1405-31952017000500581&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1405-31952017000500581&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1405-31952017000500581&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen La aleatoriedad de precio y rendimiento afectan al ingreso en la actividad agrícola; por tanto, un administrador de riesgo requiere tomar en cuenta simultáneamente ambas fuentes de incertidumbre en la administración de riesgo. Con un enfoque de funciones cópulas el objetivo de este estudio fue modelar el riesgo de ingreso por hectárea en maíz para los estados de Sinaloa, Estado de México, Jalisco y Chiapas. La hipótesis fue que se puede usar la dependencia entre precio y rendimiento en la administración de siniestros. Los resultados mostraron que el número de siniestros de ingreso por debajo del percentil 5 % es menor bajo la modelación de una cópula normal o una cópula t, comparada con los siniestros de precio o rendimiento separado.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Randomness in price and yield affect income in agricultural activities; therefore, a risk manager must take simultaneously both sources of uncertainty into account when managing risk. Under a copula function approach, the aim of this study was to model per hectare corn income risk for the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Estado de México, Jalisco and Chiapas. The hypothesis was that the dependency between price and yield can be used to manage claims. Results showed that the amount of income claims below the 5 % percentile is lower when modeled by normal copula or t copula functions, relative to modeling price or yield claims separately.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[dependencia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[riesgo sistémico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[riesgo de precio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[dependency]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[systematic risk]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[price risk]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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