<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0301-7036</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Problemas del desarrollo]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Prob. Des]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0301-7036</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0301-70362026000100031</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22201/iiec.20078951e.2026.224.70414</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[A dirty little secret? Import quotas: evidence from Mexico using an applied General Equilibrium Model]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[¿Un secretito sucio? Cuotas de importación: evidencia para México utilizando un modelo de equilibrio general aplicado]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Núñez Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gaspar]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>57</volume>
<numero>224</numero>
<fpage>31</fpage>
<lpage>59</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0301-70362026000100031&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0301-70362026000100031&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0301-70362026000100031&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The main theoretical argument against import quotas (and other trade barriers) is that they result in social welfare loss; hence, the rhetoric for most trade agreements focuses on their elimination so that welfare gains will improve enhancing opportunities. This research designs an applied General Equilibrium Model for Mexico to evaluate welfare loss from simulated intermediate goods import quotas in the manufacturing industry, finding non-significant welfare loss. Results have strong welfare and policy implications; one is that specific import quota policies to protect, support, develop, specific industries, should not be discarded by default, but a sound evaluation of the cases at hand should be carried out.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El principal argumento teórico en contra de las cuotas de importación (y otras barreras comerciales) es que provocan una pérdida de bienestar social; por lo tanto, la retórica de la mayoría de los acuerdos comerciales se centra en su eliminación, con el fin de mejorar el bienestar y aumentar las oportunidades. Esta investigación diseña un modelo de equilibrio general aplicado para México con el fin de evaluar la pérdida de bienestar derivada de cuotas de importación simuladas de bienes intermedios en la industria manufacturera, y concluye que la pérdida de bienestar no es significativa. Los resultados tienen importantes implicaciones de política en materia de bienestar; una de ellas es que las políticas específicas de cuotas de importación para proteger, apoyar y desarrollar industrias específicas no deben descartarse por defecto, sino que debe llevarse a cabo una evaluación sólida de los casos en cuestión.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[import quotas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[applied general equilibrium]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[welfare]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[policy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cuotas de importación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[equilibrio general aplicado]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[bienestar]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[política]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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