<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0301-7036</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Problemas del desarrollo]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Prob. Des]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0301-7036</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0301-70362025000300147</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22201/iiec.20078951e.2025.222.70261</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Histéresis del desempleo: evidencia empírica para el caso de México (2006-2023)]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Unemployment hysteresis: empirical evidence for the case of Mexico (2006-2023)]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ahedo García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mario Ricardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Facultad de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>56</volume>
<numero>222</numero>
<fpage>147</fpage>
<lpage>169</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0301-70362025000300147&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0301-70362025000300147&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0301-70362025000300147&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El presente trabajo busca demostrar que las propiedades dinámicas del desempleo en México pueden explicarse desde la perspectiva de histéresis y que son los movimientos en la demanda los que provocaron la desviación de las tasas de desempleo de su tendencia de largo plazo. Se realizaron pruebas de raíces unitarias a dos variables que permitieron entender el desempleo. Primero, de acuerdo con la literatura convencional, se empleó la tasa de desocupación. Después, siguiendo la visión poskeynesiana, el porcentaje de uso de capacidad instalada. Con base en los resultados econométricos se prueba la hipótesis de histéresis para la tasa de desocupación y se sugieren políticas encaminadas a fortalecer la demanda efectiva y con ello, aumentar el porcentaje de uso de la capacidad instalada, para disminuir los niveles de desempleo en México.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract This paper aims to demonstrate that the dynamic properties of unemployment in Mexico can be explained from the point of view of hysteresis, showing that movements in demand caused unemployment rates to deviate from their long-term trend. Unit root tests were performed on two variables which allowed us to understand unemployment. First, in accordance with conventional literature, the unemployment rate was used. Then, following the post-Keynesian view, the percentage of installed capacity utilization was used. Based on the econometric results, we test the hysteresis hypothesis for the unemployment rate and suggest policies aimed at strengthening effective demand, thus increasing the percentage of installed capacity utilization to reduce unemployment levels in Mexico.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[dinámica del desempleo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[histéresis, NAIRU]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[pruebas de raíces unitarias]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[capacidad instalada]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[unemployment dynamics]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[hysteresis, NAIRU]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[unit root tests]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[installed capacity]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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