<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-6266</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Acta universitaria]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Acta univ]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-6266</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de Guanajuato, Dirección de Investigación y Posgrado]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-62662020000100157</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15174/au.2020.2513</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Volatilidad de precios en el sector frutícola de México: El caso de la naranja]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Price volatility in the Mexican fruit sector: The case of the orange]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez Jiménez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alejandro]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García Salazar]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Alberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Colegio de Postgraduados  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Texcoco Estado de México]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>30</volume>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-62662020000100157&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-62662020000100157&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-62662020000100157&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Para determinar la existencia del componente estacional (CE) y cíclico en el precio al mayoreo de la naranja, se realizó un análisis de precios en las centrales de abasto de la Ciudad de México, Guadalajara y Monterrey en el periodo septiembre de 2000 a agosto de 2017. Los resultados indican que el índice estacional (IE) alcanza su valor máximo entre junio y septiembre en las tres centrales de abasto. Las diferencias máximas entre el precio real y el precio desestacionalizado indican la presencia de un fuerte CE. También se detectó la presencia de seis ciclos con una duración promedio de 18, 16 y 18 meses para las tres centrales de abasto. Para evitar la volatilidad en el precio de la naranja, se recomienda planear la producción en el espacio y tiempo, así como promover la industrialización de la naranja.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract To determine the existence of the seasonal and cyclical component in the wholesale price of oranges, a price analysis was carried out at the supply centers of Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey from September 2000 to August 2017. The results indicate that the seasonal index reaches its maximum value between June and September in the three supply centers. The maximum differences between the real price and the seasonally adjusted price indicate the presence of a strong seasonal component. Moreover, six cycles with an average duration of 18, 16, and 18 months for the three supply centers were also detected. To avoid the volatility in the price of oranges, it is recommended to plan the production in space and time, as well as to promote the industrialization of oranges.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Volatilidad de precios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[precio al mayoreo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[índice estacional]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[componente estacional]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[componente cíclico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Price volatility]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[wholesale price]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[seasonal index]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[seasonal component]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[cyclical component]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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