<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-4611</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Investigaciones geográficas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Invest. Geog]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-4611</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geografía]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-46112019000100006</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.14350/rig.59760</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Análisis Espacial de Vecindad Continua y regresión logística en el modelado espacial de probabilidad de ocurrencia de deslizamientos]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Application of the Continuum Neighborhood Spatial Analysis and Logistic Regression in the Spatial Modeling of Probability of Occurrence of Landslides]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Castro Miguel]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Rutilio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta Paulín]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gabriel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Ciudad de México ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Instituto de Geografía Departamento de Geografía Física]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Ciudad de México ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>98</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-46112019000100006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-46112019000100006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-46112019000100006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Este trabajo presenta un análisis comparativo de dos modelos estadísticos de probabilidad de procesos gravitacionales (PG) con la aplicación de regresión logística (RL), utilizando únicamente la variable pendiente del terreno. En un primer modelo se analizó información in situ de lugares con deslizamientos y áreas estables; en el segundo se analizó la información de los mismos sitios mediante el Análisis Espacial de Vecindad Continua (AEVC). La precisión que reportaron ambos modelos (in situ y AEVC) se evaluó estadísticamente con la medida de ajuste de -2 Logaritmo de la Verosimilitud (-2LL). Para la calibración de los modelos se utilizó un inventario de deslizamientos y el Continuo de Elevación Mexicano, versión 3.0 (CEM 3.0), del Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (Inegi). Los resultados muestran que, al utilizar la información de las áreas de vecindad, se obtiene un mayor nivel de ajuste de la ecuación en comparación con el modelo elaborado utilizando la información in situ. El valor de -2LL para el modelo con datos de vecindad fue 264.312, y para los datos in situ, 269.573. Del mismo modo, la tabla de clasificación global del modelo de vecindad reportó 58.5%, mientras que para el análisis in situ fue de 51.8%. Lo anterior muestra un aumento de la correcta clasificación en el modelo estadístico de 6.7% al utilizar el análisis de vecindad. El área de estudio es la cuenca del río La Ciénega, ubicada en la ladera este del volcán Nevado de Toluca, en el Estado de México.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: Spatial models of probability based on the Logistic Regression (RL) usually collect data for model calibration directly from the location of the sampling site. This data collection method involves the isolation of the site, leading to loss of information, as the neighborhood area is not considered; therefore, the LR model may be less representative of reality. Aiming to construct spatial models of higher accuracy when using the RL statistical model, this work addresses the analysis and integration of data on independent variables for areas surrounding the sampling sites used for the calibration of the statistical model. A few works have conducted a statistical evaluation of how the neighborhood areas to calibration sites may yield a higher relationship with the occurrence of landslides processes, leading to higher precision in the classification of areas based on the probability of occurrence, as compared to in-situ data collection at the sampling site. Hence the importance of considering the relationship between the sampling site and its neighborhood area when gathering information for calibrating the probability model. This paper reports a comparative analysis of two statistical models of probability of occurrence of gravitational processes (PG) involving the application of RL and using terrain slope as the independent variable. A first model analyzed data collected in situ on the independent variable from sampling sites with landslides and in stable areas; the second analyzed information for these same sites using Spatial Analysis of Continuum Neighborhood (AEVC) to derive information about the terrain slope variable. The implementation of AEVC for the elaboration of the statistical model provided information for a detailed assessment of how the area surrounding sampling sites is statistically related to the process studied. The neighborhood area was estimated by using a circular shape centered in the sampling point, the radius of which was increased gradually in 1-pixel increments to 20 pixels. The data of the terrain slope variable were analyzed separately for the site location (in situ) and for each of the neighboring areas, from a distance of 1 to 20 pixels in radio. This approach was used for calibrating the RL statistical models for each distance analyzed, which were then evaluated in statistical terms aiming to identify the model(s) that yield the best classification level. The precision of in-situ and AEVC models was evaluated using -2 Logarithm of Likelihood (-2LL) as a fit measure. This measure facilitates the comparison of two models, where the difference between the values obtained represents the shift in prediction level between models. A lower value of -2LL indicates better goodness of fit of the model; therefore, the size of the neighborhood area analyzed and the value of -2LL were both used for selecting the area for which the terrain slope contributed to better goodness of fit of the probability model. Models were calibrated using an inventory of landslides, and the terrain slope variable was derived from the Continuo de Elevación Mexicano version 3.0 (CMS 3.0). The results show that using data for neighboring areas yields higher goodness of fit of the equation relative to the model developed using in-situ data. The value of -2LL for the model was 264.3 using neighborhood data and 269.5 using in-situ data. The table on overall classification reported 58.5 % for the neighborhood model and 51.8 % for the in-situ analysis, showing a 6.7 % increase in the classification of the statistical model when the neighborhood analysis is used. The information used for the selection of the optimal distance for AEVC and the calibration of the statistical model can be depicted spatially; therefore, the results from the LR model can be represented in a map of the distribution of probability of landslides in the study area. The study area is the La Ciénega river basin located on the eastern slope of the Nevado de Toluca volcano, in the State of Mexico.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Análisis de vecindad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[regresión logística]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[probabilidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[procesos gravitacionales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[deslizamientos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Neighborhood area]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[sampling site]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[probability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[gravitational processes]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[spatial analysis]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Álvarez-Ruíz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Cartografía geomorfológica para el inventario de procesos gravitacionales en la cuenca endorreica del arroyo La Ciénega, flanco oriental del volcán Nevado de Toluca.]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Boletín de la Sociedad Geológica Mexicana]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>66</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>329-42</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Álvarez-Ruíz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Gravitational Processes on the Eastern Flank of the Nevado de Toluca, México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>58</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>185-200</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lugo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Umaña]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Sistemas de información geográfica y cartografía geomorfológica aplicados al inventario de deslizamientos y cartografía de susceptibilidad en la cuenca del río El Estado, Pico de Orizaba]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<numero>91</numero>
<issue>91</issue>
<page-range>43-55</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aguilar-Barojas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Fórmulas para el cálculo de la muestra en investigaciones de salud]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Salud en Tabasco]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<volume>11</volume>
<numero>1-2</numero>
<issue>1-2</issue>
<page-range>333-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Akbari]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Yahaya]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Azamirad]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fanodi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Logistics Regression Analysis and GIS Tools]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Electronic Journal of Geotechnical Engineering]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<page-range>1687-96</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Alcántara]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Landslides:¿deslizamientos o movimientos del terreno? Definición, clasificaciones y terminología.]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía]]></source>
<year>2000</year>
<numero>41</numero>
<issue>41</issue>
<page-range>7-25</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Álvarez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y. R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Relación entre los deslizamientos y cambios en la cubierta de uso de suelo y vegetación entre los años 1983 y 2014 en el arroyo la Ciénega, volcán Nevado de Toluca, México]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Facultad de Ciencias, UNAM]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aparicio]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Representaciones sociales del desastre de 1940 en Santa Cruz Pueblo Nuevo, Estado de México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<numero>83</numero>
<issue>83</issue>
<page-range>88-101</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aronoff]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Geographic Information System: A Management Perspective]]></source>
<year>1989</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Ottawa ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[WDL Publications]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ayalew]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Yamagishi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The Application of GIS-Based Logistic Regression for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Kakuda-Yahiko Mountains, Central Japan]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Geomorphology]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<numero>65</numero>
<issue>65</issue>
<page-range>15-31</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Berry]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Beyon Mapping: Concepts, Algorithms, and Issues in GIS]]></source>
<year>1993</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Fort Collins ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[GIS World]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Berry]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Beyond Mapping III. Compilation of Beyond Mapping columns appearing in GeoWorl magazine 1996 to 2013]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Castro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Elaboración de un modelo espacial de riesgo de deforestación en bosques]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, UNAM]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Castro]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Modelo especial de probabilidad a la deforestación en bosques para el estado de Oaxaca]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Posgrado en Geografía, UNAM]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Esper]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. Y.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Debris Flow Susceptibility Mapping in a Portion of the Andes and Preandes of San Juan, Argentina Using Frequency Ratio and Logistic Regression Models]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Earth Sciences Research Journal]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>159-67</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>ESRI (Environmental Systems Research Institute)</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Cómo funciona. Estadísticas focalizadas]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Feizizadeh]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Blaschke]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[An Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Approach for GIS-Based Multicriteria Landslide Susceptibility Mapping]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Geographical Information Science]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>28</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>610-38</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fuenzalida]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Buzai]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G. D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Moreno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Geografía, geotecnología y análisis espacial: Tendencias, métodos y aplicaciones]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Santiago de Chile ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Triángulo]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Susceptibilidad geomorfológica a procesos gravitacionales en arroyos secundarios del sur de la cuenca La Ciénega, volcán Nevado de Toluca]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<numero>96</numero>
<issue>96</issue>
<page-range>1-14</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ghilani]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wolf]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Elementary Surveying. An Introduction to Geomatics]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[New Jersey ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Prentice Hall-Pearson Education, Inc]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hair]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Anderson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tatham]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Black]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[W.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Análisis multivariante]]></source>
<year>1999</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Madrid ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Pearson]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Huang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhou]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Mapping the Landslide Susceptibility in Lantau Island, Hong Kong, by Frequency Ratio and Logistic Regression Model]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Annals of GIS]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>21</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>191-208</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Inegi (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía)</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Red hidrográfica escala 1:50 000. Documento técnico descriptivo de la red hidrográfica escala 1:50 000]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Inegi (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía)</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Censo de Población y Vivienda 2010]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Inegi (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía)</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Continuo de Elevación Mexicano 3.0]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Inegi (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía)</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Marco geoestadístico, versión junio de 2016]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B27">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bursik]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Paredes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hubp]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ayala]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[López]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Temas selectos de geomática: Métodos y aplicaciones. Evaluación práctica y teórica de los modelos de regresión logística múltiple y cartográfica-hidrográfica para la predicción de deslizamientos de tierra]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto de Geografía-UNAM]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B28">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bursik]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Solene]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hubp]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. L.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Paredes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Inventario multitemporal, análisis de susceptibilidad y estimación de volumen de deslizamiento en el flanco SW del volcán Pico de Orizaba, Puebla-Veracruz]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Boletín de la Sociedad Geológica Mexicana]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>66</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>343-54</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B29">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Legorreta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Alanis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Arana]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Aceves]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Evaluación de la eficiencia de predicción a deslizamientos usando un modelo cartográfico-hidrológico: caso de estudio cuenca La Carbonera, flanco SE del Volcán Pico de Orizaba]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<numero>95</numero>
<issue>95</issue>
<page-range>1-15</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B30">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lincoln]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Introducción a la estadística]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Editorial Continental]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B31">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lugo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Diccionario geomorfológico]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto de Geografía-UNAM]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B32">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Macías]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Geología e historia eruptiva de algunos de los grandes volcanes activos de México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Boletín de la Sociedad Geológica Mexica (Volumen conmemorativo del centenario)]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>379-424</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B33">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martín]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Q.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cabero]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Paz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y. R.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Tratamiento estadístico de datos con SPSS]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Madrid ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Thomson]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B34">
<nlm-citation citation-type="confpro">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MatebieMeten]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Prakash]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bhandary]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ryuichi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Yatabe]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Application of Weights of Evidence Modeling for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping of Dejan-GohaTsiyon Transect in the Blue Nile Gorge, Central Ethiopia]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<conf-name><![CDATA[ Goehazard: Science, Engineering and Management]]></conf-name>
<conf-loc>Kathmandu, Nepal </conf-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B35">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mirnazari]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ahmad]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mojaradi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sattari]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Using Frequency Ratio for Spatial Landslide Prediction]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>7</volume>
<numero>15</numero>
<issue>15</issue>
<page-range>3174-33180</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B36">
<nlm-citation citation-type="confpro">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nourani]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ghaffari]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Landslide Susceptibility Mapping with Analytical Hierarchical Process and GIS Techniques (Case Study: Zonouz, East Azerbaijan, Iran)]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<conf-name><![CDATA[ 10th International Congress on Advances in Civil Engineering]]></conf-name>
<conf-loc>Turkey </conf-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B37">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pardo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruíz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[SPSS 11]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Madrid ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[McGraw Hill]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B38">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Paz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gómez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Velasco]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Metodología para la elaboración de mapas de susceptibilidad a procesos de remoción en masa, análisis del caso ladera sur de Tuxtla Gutiérrez, Chiapas]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<numero>92</numero>
<issue>92</issue>
<page-range>129-43</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B39">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mora-González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Murrieta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Flujos de baja concentración asociados con lluvias de intensidad extraordinaria en el flanco sur del volcán Pico de Orizaba (Citlaltepetl), México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Boletín de la Sociedad Geológica Mexicana]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<volume>LVIII</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>223-36</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B40">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tobler R.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[W.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A Computer Movie Simulation Urban Growth in the Detroit Region]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Economic Geography]]></source>
<year>1970</year>
<numero>46</numero>
<issue>46</issue>
<page-range>234-40</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B41">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Washington State Department of Natural Resources (WSDNR)</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Landslide Hazard Zonation Project Protocol, Version 2.1]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B42">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wayne]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[W. D.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Bioestadística: Base para el análisis de las ciencias de la salud]]></source>
<year>2004</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Limusa]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
