<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-3380</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Economía: teoría y práctica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Econ: teor. práct]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-3380</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, a través de la Unidad Iztapalapa, la Unidad Azcapotzalco y la Unidad Xochimilco, División de Ciencias Sociales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-33802016000200207</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Evidencia de ciclo político presupuestal en el Estado de México]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Evidence of Politic Budgetary Cycles in the Estado de Mexico]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mejía Reyes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Pablo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Reyes Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marlen R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Melquíades Ramírez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Blanca I.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>45</numero>
<fpage>207</fpage>
<lpage>234</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-33802016000200207&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-33802016000200207&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-33802016000200207&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: En este documento se determina la presencia de ciclos políticos presupuestales (CPP) asociados a las elecciones de gobernador del Estado de México; México, durante el periodo 1980-2011. Para ello, se analizan las características de los datos de gasto público en busca de evidencia preliminar. Posteriormente, se estiman modelos autorregresivos extendidos que incorporan variables (dicótomas) electorales y se controlan mediante los efectos del ciclo económico. Los resultados muestran la presencia de CPP en el gasto administrativo y la deuda pública, pero sólo evidencia episódica de conductas oportunistas en los rubros de gasto total (elección de 1993) y transferencias (elecciones de 1987 y 1999).]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: The aim of this paper is to determine the existence of political budget cycles associated to the elections of governors in the Estado de Mexico (Mexico) over the period 1980-2011. To address the subject, the characteristics of the government expenditure data are analyzed in a first moment looking for preliminary evidence. Afterwards, we estimate extended autoregressive models that incorporate electoral (dummy) variables and control for the effects of the business cycle. The results show evidence of political budget cycle in administrative expenditure and public debt, but only episodic evidence of opportunistic behavior in total expenditure (election of 1993) and transfers (elections of 1987 and 1999).]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[gasto público]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[deuda pública]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[ciclo político presupuestal]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[México]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[public expenditure]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[public debt]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[political budget cycle]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mexico]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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