<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0187-6236</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Atmósfera]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Atmósfera]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0187-6236</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0187-62362024000100040</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20937/atm.53335</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Influence of teleconnections on observations and projections of hydroclimatic extremes caused by tropical cyclones in the arid climate of Baja California Sur]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bello-Jiménez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Brenda Liliana]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Raga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Graciela B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wurl]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jobst]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aaf"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[La Paz Baja California Sur]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Ciudad de México ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur Departamento Académico de Ciencias de la Tierra ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[La Paz Baja California Sur]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>38</volume>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0187-62362024000100040&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0187-62362024000100040&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0187-62362024000100040&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT This study focuses on identifying modulations by large-scale synoptic, inter-annual, and decadal oscillations on the extreme rainfall in the state of Baja California Sur, and provides statistical models to forecast future evolution. The region is arid, with 70% of precipitation from July to October, and is affected by tropical systems that may lead to moderate and even intense precipitation. Seven clusters were obtained using the Ward method applied to quality-controlled climatological data from 1950 to 2014. Normalized extreme precipitation (95th percentile) shows an overall increase in the last decades (1995-2004 and 2005-2014), with total values much larger than in any of the previous 50 years. Multivariate linear models (MLMs) were developed based on indices for the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in Region 3.4, which were shown to modulate extreme precipitation. The MLM based on PDO, ENSO, and the fraction of tropical cyclones (TC) within a radius of 300 km to the peninsula (M4), has a better correlation with observed rainfall than the historical simulations of the Coupled-Model Inter-comparison Project version 5 (CMIP5) models; moreover, M4 outperforms all other MLMs in six of the seven clusters. Projections were evaluated based on the MLMs and CMIP5 simulations under scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for mid- and long-term horizons. Model M4 projects more extreme events than CMIP5, and all MLM projects negative trends in extreme precipitation from 2041 to 2100 under RCP8.5. This study provides valuable information on future extreme precipitation in an arid region in the presence of steep topography, which could result in potential damage to ecosystems and infrastructure.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN Este estudio se enfoca a identificar modulaciones de gran escala por oscilaciones sinópticas, interanuales y decenales sobre la precipitación extrema en el estado de Baja California Sur y propone modelos estadísticos para proyectar su evolución futura. La zona de estudio es árida, registra el 70% de precipitación acumulada anual entre julio y octubre, y es impactada por sistemas tropicales que pueden provocar lluvias moderadas a intensas. Se obtuvieron siete conglomerados mediante el método de Ward aplicado a datos climatológicos controlados por calidad desde 1950 hasta 2014. La precipitación extrema normalizada (percentil 95) muestra un aumento en las últimas décadas (1995-2004 y 2005-2014), con valores totales mayores en comparación con los 50 años anteriores. Se desarrollaron cuatro modelos lineales multivariados (MLM) usando como predictores los índices de la Oscilación Decenal del Pacífico (PDO) y El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENOS) en la región 3.4, que demostraron modular la precipitación extrema en la región. El MLM basado en PDO, ENSO y la fracción del número de ciclones tropicales (TC) en un radio de 300 km con centro en la península (identificado como M4), tiene una mejor correlación con la lluvia extrema que las simulaciones históricas del Proyecto de Intercomparación de Modelos Acoplados versión 5 (CMIP5). Su proyección futura se evaluó en función de las simulaciones de MLM y CMIP5 con los escenarios RCP4.5 y RCP8.5, para horizontes de mediano y largo plazo. El modelo M4 proyecta más eventos extremos que los modelos CMIP5, y todos proyectan tendencias negativas en precipitaciones extremas de 2041 a 2100 con el escenario RCP8.5. Este estudio proporciona información valiosa sobre las precipitaciones extremas futuras en una región árida en presencia de topografía escarpada, lo que podría resultar en daños potenciales a los ecosistemas y la infraestructura.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[hydroclimatic extremes]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change projections]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Pacific Decadal Oscillation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[El Niño-Southern Oscillation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[multivariate models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[precipitation]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brito-Castillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Leyva-Contreras]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Douglas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lluch-Belda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the filled capacity of dams on the rivers of the Gulf of California continental watershed]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Atmósfera]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<volume>15</volume>
<page-range>121-38</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cavazos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Turrent]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lettenmaier]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Extreme precipitation trends associated with tropical cyclones in the core of the North American monsoon]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Geophysical Research Letters]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<volume>35</volume>
<page-range>L21703</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>CMIP5</collab>
<source><![CDATA[NCAR climate data guide: Overview: Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)]]></source>
<year>2023</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[DeFlorio]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pierce]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cayan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Miller]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Western U.S. extreme precipitation events and their relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>26</volume>
<page-range>4231-43</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Englehart]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Douglas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The role of eastern North Pacific tropical storms in the rainfall climatology of western Mexico]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Climatology]]></source>
<year>2001</year>
<volume>21</volume>
<page-range>1357-70</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Englehart]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Douglas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Mexico&#8217;s summer rainfall patterns: An analysis of regional modes and changes in their teleconnectivity]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Atmósfera]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<volume>15</volume>
<page-range>147-64</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>ENSO</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) Working Group on Surface Pressure (WG-SP): Niño 3.4 SST Index]]></source>
<year>2023</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>ETCCDI</collab>
<source><![CDATA[ETCCDI climate change indices]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fluixá-Sanmartín]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Altarejos-García]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Morales-Torres]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Escuder-Bueno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Climate change impacts on dam safety. Review article]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<volume>8</volume>
<page-range>2471-88</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fuentes-Franco]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Giorgi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Coppola]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kucharski]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The role of ENSO and PDO in variability of winter precipitation over North America from twenty first century CMIP5 projections]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Climate Dynamics]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>46</volume>
<page-range>3259-77</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Glantz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Katz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nichols]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Teleconnections linking worldwide climate anomalies: Scientific basis and societal impact]]></source>
<year>1991</year>
<page-range>548</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Cambridge University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hare]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mantua]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Progress in Oceanography]]></source>
<year>2000</year>
<volume>47</volume>
<page-range>103-45</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>HURDAT</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Best Track Data (HURDAT2)]]></source>
<year>2022</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Solomon]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Qin]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Manning]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chen]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Z]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Marquis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Averyt]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tignor]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Miller]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<collab>IPCC</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<volume>I</volume>
<page-range>2-18</page-range><publisher-name><![CDATA[Cambridge University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Jiang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[X]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhao]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Waliser]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Modulation of tropical cyclones over the eastern Pacific by the intraseasonal variability simulated in an AGCM]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Climate]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>25</volume>
<page-range>6524-38</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kiladis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Díaz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Climate]]></source>
<year>1989</year>
<volume>2</volume>
<page-range>1069-90</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Larson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Polsky]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gober]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Shandas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Vulnerability of water systems to the effects of climate change and urbanization: A comparison of Phoenix, Arizona and Portland, Oregon (USA)]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Environmental Management]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>52</volume>
<page-range>179-95</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Magaña]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vázquez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Impact of El Niño on precipitation in Mexico]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Geofísica Internacional]]></source>
<year>2003</year>
<volume>42</volume>
<page-range>313-30</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mantua]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hare]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wallace]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Francis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society]]></source>
<year>1997</year>
<volume>78</volume>
<page-range>1069-79</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mantua]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hare]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The Pacific Decadal Oscillation]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Oceanography]]></source>
<year>2002</year>
<volume>58</volume>
<page-range>35-44</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Cambio climático. Una visión desde México, Instituto Nacional de Ecología, Mexico]]></source>
<year>2004</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez-Sánchez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cavazos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Eastern tropical Pacific hurricane variability and landfalls on Mexicans coasts]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Climate Research]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>58</volume>
<page-range>221-34</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez-Austria]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Jano-Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Climate change and extreme temperature trends in the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Air, Soil and Water Research]]></source>
<year>2021</year>
<volume>14</volume>
<page-range>1-11</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>MEI</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Physical sciences: Extended Multivariate ENSO Index]]></source>
<year>2023</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Méndez González]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramírez Leyva]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cornejo Oviedo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zárate Lupercio]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cavazos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Teleconexiones de la Oscilación Decadal del Pacífico (PDO) a la precipitación y temperatura en México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Investigaciones Geográficas]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<volume>73</volume>
<page-range>57-70</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[O´Brien]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[O´Brien]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Patricola]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Metrics for understanding large-scale controls of multivariate temperature and precipitation variability]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Climate Dynamics]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<volume>53</volume>
<page-range>3805-23</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B27">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>PDO</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Pacific Decadal Oscillation]]></source>
<year>2023</year>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[National Centers for Environmental Information]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B28">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Peralta-Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Balling]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Barba-Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Comparative analysis of indices of extreme rainfall events: Variations and trends from southern México]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Atmosfera]]></source>
<year>2009</year>
<volume>22</volume>
<page-range>219-28</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B29">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>PNA</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Pacific-North American]]></source>
<year>2023</year>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[National Centers for Environmental Information]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B30">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Raga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bracamontes-Ceballos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Farfán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Romero-Centeno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Landfalling tropical cyclones on the Pacific coast of Mexico: 1850-2010]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Atmósfera]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>26</volume>
<page-range>209-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B31">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Romero-Vadillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zaytsev]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[O]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Morales-Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Tropical cyclone statistics in the Northeastern Pacific]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Atmósfera]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<volume>20</volume>
<page-range>197-213</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B32">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tory]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ye1]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brunet]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Tropical cyclone formation regions in CMIP5 models: A global performance assessment and projected changes]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Climate Dynamics]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>55</volume>
<page-range>3213-37</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B33">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Trenberth]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hurrell]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Climate Dynamics]]></source>
<year>1994</year>
<volume>9</volume>
<page-range>303-19</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B34">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ward]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Hierarchical grouping to optimize an objective function]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of the American Statistical Association]]></source>
<year>1963</year>
<volume>58</volume>
<page-range>236-44</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B35">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[White]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Downton]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The shrimp fishery in the Gulf of Mexico: Relation to climatic variability and global atmospheric patterns]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="editor">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Glantz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[MH]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Katz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[RW]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nicholls]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Teleconnections linking worldwide climate anomalies. Scientific basis and societal impact]]></source>
<year>1991</year>
<page-range>459-91</page-range><publisher-name><![CDATA[Cambridge University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B36">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhang]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Y]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wallace]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Battisti]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900-93]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Climate]]></source>
<year>1997</year>
<volume>10</volume>
<page-range>1004-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B37">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zhao]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Raga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Klotzbach]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Impact of the boreal summer quasi-biweekly oscillation on Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[International Journal of Climatology]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<volume>38</volume>
<page-range>1353-65</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
