<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0186-7210</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Estudios demográficos y urbanos]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Estud. demogr. urbanos]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0186-7210</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[El Colegio de México A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0186-72102009000200469</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Descripción y proyección de la esperanza de vida al nacimiento en México (1900-2050)]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Peláez Herreros]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Óscar]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma de Chiapas Facultad de Ciencias Sociales ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>24</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>469</fpage>
<lpage>492</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0186-72102009000200469&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0186-72102009000200469&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0186-72102009000200469&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen En este texto se sostiene que la evolución de la esperanza de vida al nacimiento en México está condicionada por el margen de mejora existente respecto a los países más avanzados en la lucha contra la mortalidad, de ahí que para proyectar la evolución futura de la serie nacional se ajuste un modelo logístico de dos asíntotas a la esperanza de vida máxima internacional, que luego se adapta al caso mexicano atendiendo a las características particulares que se detectan.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[esperanza de vida]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[proyección]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo logístico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[transición epidemiológica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[mortalidad infantil]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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